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Atletico El Vigia vs Atletico Barinas - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Venezuela Venezuela

Liga FUTVE 2
Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
41'
42' Event
Penalty Missed

AI Match Summary

The Liga FUTVE 2 game between Atletico El Vigia and Atletico Barinas finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Atletico El Vigia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Atletico El Vigia
35%
Draws
20%
Atletico Barinas
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Atletico El Vigia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Atletico El Vigia carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 45% — that's where the model lands on Atletico El Vigia taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Atletico El Vigia Clean Sheet 11%
Atletico Barinas Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atletico El Vigia Atletico Barinas
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 13 10
Draws 5 5
Losses 10 14
Goals Scored 1.57 1.72
Goals Conceded 1.75 1.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 9, 2026 Copa Venezuela
Atletico Barinas vs Atletico El Vigia
5:2
Sep 2, 2026 Liga FUTVE 2
Atletico El Vigia vs Atletico Barinas
2:1
Aug 26, 2026 Copa Venezuela
Atletico El Vigia vs Atletico Barinas
2:0
May 31, 2026 Liga FUTVE 2
Atletico Barinas vs Atletico El Vigia
7:1
Apr 5, 2026 Liga FUTVE 2
Atletico El Vigia vs Atletico Barinas
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atletico El Vigia 56 / 100
Atletico Barinas 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atletico El Vigia Atletico Barinas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Atletico El Vigia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Atletico Barinas's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 29 matches.

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Atletico El Vigia has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Atletico El Vigia found the back of the net in 71% of recent matches (28 games).

Scoring Trends

Atletico El Vigia VS Atletico Barinas
2.13 Goals Scored 1.63
2 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Atletico El Vigia

(Home)
06 Oct
Real Frontera
1 : 1
Atletico El Vigia
03 Oct
Barquisimeto
2 : 4
Atletico El Vigia
30 Sept
Atletico El Vigia
4 : 3
Zamora 2
25 Sept
Academia Puerto Cabello B
1 : 1
Atletico El Vigia
20 Sept
Atletico El Vigia
3 : 1
Real Frontera
Page 1 of 6

Atletico Barinas

(Away)
07 Oct
Zamora
0 : 0
Atletico Barinas
04 Oct
Urena
0 : 0
Atletico Barinas
30 Sept
Atletico Barinas
1 : 2
Barquisimeto
26 Sept
Zamora 2
2 : 1
Atletico Barinas
20 Sept
Atletico Barinas
3 : 2
Academia Puerto Cabello B
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lara 29 19 6 4 51:22 63
2 Barquisimeto 29 15 8 6 52:32 53
3 Yaracuyanos 29 13 7 9 41:28 46
4 Urena 29 12 10 7 41:34 46
5 Zamora 2 29 11 7 11 46:44 40
6 Atletico El Vigia 30 11 7 12 40:50 40
7 Academia Puerto Cabello B 30 9 7 14 38:44 34
8 Atletico Barinas 30 9 5 16 50:61 32
9 Real Frontera 29 3 3 23 22:66 12
Promotion - Liga FUTVE 2 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Monagas B 24 13 6 5 40:26 45
2 Deportivo Miranda 24 12 5 7 32:21 41
3 Bolivar 25 12 4 9 31:29 40
4 Aragua 24 10 9 5 26:17 39
5 Dynamo Puerto FC 24 8 8 8 27:26 32
6 Mineros 25 5 9 11 29:33 24
7 Maritimo de Venezuela 20 5 5 10 16:31 20
8 Avila 24 2 10 12 13:31 16
Promotion - Liga FUTVE 2 (Play Offs)