Sport Picks
Atletico El Vigia vs Lara - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Venezuela
Liga FUTVE 2 
Match Events
44'
44'
Salazar R.
83'
83'
Annese L.
90'
90'
Duarte B.
AI Match Summary
The Liga FUTVE 2 game between Atletico El Vigia and Lara finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Atletico El Vigia.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
44%
20%
36%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Atletico El Vigia
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
20%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Lara come out ahead of Atletico El Vigia on wins alone.
- 42% — that's where the model lands on Atletico El Vigia taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Atletico El Vigia Clean Sheet 10%
Lara Clean Sheet 11%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Atletico El Vigia | Lara |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 28 |
| Wins | 13 | 17 |
| Draws | 5 | 5 |
| Losses | 10 | 6 |
| Goals Scored | 1.57 | 1.75 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.75 | 0.86 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.25 | 1.94 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 16, 2026 Liga FUTVE 2
Lara vs Atletico El Vigia
3:0
Jul 29, 2026 Liga FUTVE 2
Atletico El Vigia vs Lara
2:1
Apr 25, 2026 Liga FUTVE 2
Lara vs Atletico El Vigia
1:0
Mar 1, 2026 Liga FUTVE 2
Atletico El Vigia vs Lara
2:2
Aug 24, 2016 Copa Venezuela
Atletico El Vigia vs Lara
1:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Atletico El Vigia Compare
Top Goalscorer Salazar R.
1 Goals Assists Leader Duarte B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63
Lara Compare
Top Goalscorer Annese L.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Atletico El Vigia 40 / 100
Lara 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Atletico El Vigia Lara
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Solid form: Atletico El Vigia remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.
Atletico El Vigia's goal record stands at 71% scoring rate across 28 recent games.
Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.
Lara has conceded goals in 54% of their last 28 outings.
Scoring Trends
Atletico El Vigia VS Lara
2 Goals Scored 1.88
2 Goals Conceded 0.5
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Atletico El Vigia
(Home) 06 Oct
Real Frontera
1 : 1 Atletico El Vigia
03 Oct
Barquisimeto
2 : 4 Atletico El Vigia
30 Sept
Atletico El Vigia
4 : 3 Zamora 2
25 Sept
Academia Puerto Cabello B
1 : 1 Atletico El Vigia
20 Sept
Atletico El Vigia
3 : 1 Real Frontera
Page 1 of 6
30 Sept
Atletico El Vigia
4 : 3 Zamora 2
20 Sept
Atletico El Vigia
3 : 1 Real Frontera
13 Sept
Atletico El Vigia
1 : 0 Yaracuyanos
02 Sept
Atletico El Vigia
2 : 1 Atletico Barinas
26 Aug
Atletico El Vigia
2 : 0 Atletico Barinas
Page 1 of 3
Lara
(Away) 07 Oct
Rayo Zuliano
3 : 2 Lara
04 Oct
Academia Puerto Cabello B
2 : 1 Lara
30 Sept
Lara
4 : 0 Real Frontera
19 Sept
Yaracuyanos
0 : 1 Lara
16 Sept
Lara
3 : 0 Atletico El Vigia
Page 1 of 6
07 Oct
Rayo Zuliano
3 : 2 Lara
04 Oct
Academia Puerto Cabello B
2 : 1 Lara
19 Sept
Yaracuyanos
0 : 1 Lara
13 Sept
Atletico Barinas
0 : 1 Lara
06 Sept
Urena
0 : 1 Lara
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lara | 29 | 19 | 6 | 4 | 51:22 | 63 |
| 2 | Barquisimeto | 29 | 15 | 8 | 6 | 52:32 | 53 |
| 3 | Yaracuyanos | 29 | 13 | 7 | 9 | 41:28 | 46 |
| 4 | Urena | 29 | 12 | 10 | 7 | 41:34 | 46 |
| 5 | Zamora 2 | 29 | 11 | 7 | 11 | 46:44 | 40 |
| 6 | Atletico El Vigia | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | 40:50 | 40 |
| 7 | Academia Puerto Cabello B | 30 | 9 | 7 | 14 | 38:44 | 34 |
| 8 | Atletico Barinas | 30 | 9 | 5 | 16 | 50:61 | 32 |
| 9 | Real Frontera | 29 | 3 | 3 | 23 | 22:66 | 12 |
Promotion - Liga FUTVE 2 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Monagas B | 24 | 13 | 6 | 5 | 40:26 | 45 |
| 2 | Deportivo Miranda | 24 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 32:21 | 41 |
| 3 | Bolivar | 25 | 12 | 4 | 9 | 31:29 | 40 |
| 4 | Aragua | 24 | 10 | 9 | 5 | 26:17 | 39 |
| 5 | Dynamo Puerto FC | 24 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 27:26 | 32 |
| 6 | Mineros | 25 | 5 | 9 | 11 | 29:33 | 24 |
| 7 | Maritimo de Venezuela | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 16:31 | 20 |
| 8 | Avila | 24 | 2 | 10 | 12 | 13:31 | 16 |
Promotion - Liga FUTVE 2 (Play Offs)
