Sport Picks

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Atletico El Vigia vs Urena

Venezuela Venezuela

Liga FUTVE 2
Our Tip

Match Events

36' Event
Montano R.
46' Event
Montano R.
57' Event
Angulo E.

AI Match Summary

Urena in this Liga FUTVE 2 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Urena.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Atletico El Vigia
15%
Draws
37%
Urena
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Atletico El Vigia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Atletico El Vigia haven't matched Urena's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Atletico El Vigia a 48% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Atletico El Vigia Clean Sheet 20%
Urena Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atletico El Vigia Urena
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 13
Draws 6 10
Losses 13 7
Goals Scored 1.33 1.43
Goals Conceded 1.8 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 30, 2026 Liga FUTVE 2
Urena vs Atletico El Vigia
0:1
May 24, 2026 Liga FUTVE 2
Atletico El Vigia vs Urena
1:2
Mar 29, 2026 Liga FUTVE 2
Urena vs Atletico El Vigia
1:1
Sep 27, 2025 Liga FUTVE 2
Urena vs Atletico El Vigia
1:0
Aug 17, 2025 Liga FUTVE 2
Atletico El Vigia vs Urena
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Atletico El Vigia Compare

Top Goalscorer Angulo E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Urena Compare

Top Goalscorer Montano R.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atletico El Vigia 40 / 100
Urena 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atletico El Vigia Urena

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Atletico El Vigia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Atletico El Vigia found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).

Defensive concern: Urena conceded in 70% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Atletico El Vigia went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Atletico El Vigia VS Urena
2.38 Goals Scored 0.88
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Atletico El Vigia

(Home)
20 Sept
Atletico El Vigia
3 : 1
Real Frontera
16 Sept
Lara
3 : 0
Atletico El Vigia
13 Sept
Atletico El Vigia
1 : 0
Yaracuyanos
09 Sept
Atletico Barinas
5 : 2
Atletico El Vigia
02 Sept
Atletico El Vigia
2 : 1
Atletico Barinas
Page 1 of 6

Urena

(Away)
20 Sept
Urena
0 : 3
Zamora 2
17 Sept
Academia Puerto Cabello B
2 : 3
Urena
13 Sept
Urena
1 : 0
Real Frontera
09 Sept
Urena
0 : 0
Rayo Zuliano
06 Sept
Urena
0 : 1
Lara
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lara 27 18 6 3 46:20 60
2 Barquisimeto 26 13 8 5 45:27 47
3 Urena 27 12 9 6 41:31 45
4 Zamora 2 26 10 7 9 40:35 37
5 Yaracuyanos 26 10 7 9 31:27 37
6 Atletico El Vigia 27 9 6 12 31:44 33
7 Atletico Barinas 27 9 4 14 48:57 31
8 Academia Puerto Cabello B 27 8 6 13 35:39 30
9 Real Frontera 27 3 3 21 22:59 12
Promotion - Liga FUTVE 2 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Monagas B 22 12 6 4 37:23 42
2 Deportivo Miranda 23 12 5 6 30:18 41
3 Bolivar 23 11 4 8 28:26 37
4 Aragua 23 9 9 5 25:17 36
5 Dynamo Puerto FC 22 6 8 8 23:24 26
6 Mineros 23 4 9 10 25:29 21
7 Maritimo de Venezuela 20 5 5 10 16:31 20
8 Avila 22 2 10 10 12:28 16
Promotion - Liga FUTVE 2 (Play Offs)