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Atletico F.C. vs Bogota - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Colombia Colombia

Primera B Estadio Olímpico Pascual Guerrero, Cali
Our Tip

Match Events

1'
Velasco J.
19' Event
Restrepo C.
20'
Zamora J.

AI Match Summary

The Primera B game between Atletico F.C. and Bogota finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Atletico F.C..

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Atletico F.C.
30%
Draws
39%
Bogota
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Bogota

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Bogota come out ahead of Atletico F.C. on wins alone.
  • Bogota are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Atletico F.C. Clean Sheet 23%
Bogota Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atletico F.C. Bogota
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 5 9
Draws 9 9
Losses 15 11
Goals Scored 0.97 0.86
Goals Conceded 1.9 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2026 Primera B
Atletico F.C. vs Bogota
2:1
Feb 27, 2026 Primera B
Bogota vs Atletico F.C.
1:0
Jul 27, 2025 Primera B
Bogota vs Atletico F.C.
2:0
Feb 17, 2025 Primera B
Atletico F.C. vs Bogota
2:2
Aug 5, 2024 Primera B
Atletico F.C. vs Bogota
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Atletico F.C. Compare

Top Goalscorer Restrepo C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Onate A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Bogota Compare

Top Goalscorer Sandoval Lasso H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atletico F.C. 29 / 100
Bogota 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atletico F.C. Bogota

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bogota Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Atletico F.C. found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (29 games).

Bogota let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Atletico F.C. stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Atletico F.C. VS Bogota
1.13 Goals Scored 0.63
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Atletico F.C.

(Home)
08 Oct
Atletico F.C.
2 : 2
Cartagena
02 Oct
Atletico F.C.
1 : 2
Real Cundinamarca
27 Sept
Envigado
3 : 0
Atletico F.C.
22 Sept
Atletico F.C.
0 : 3
Tigres Futbol Club
14 Sept
Orsomarso
0 : 2
Atletico F.C.
Page 1 of 6

Bogota

(Away)
05 Oct
Bogota
3 : 3
Envigado
28 Sept
Quindio
1 : 0
Bogota
21 Sept
Bogota
2 : 1
Barranquilla
14 Sept
Tigres Futbol Club
0 : 0
Bogota
04 Sept
Bogota
0 : 2
Independiente Valle del Cauca
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Independiente Valle del Cauca 12 7 3 2 16:7 24
2 Real Cundinamarca 12 7 2 3 19:11 23
3 Tigres Futbol Club 12 6 4 2 14:5 22
4 Boca Juniors de Cali 11 5 3 3 18:14 18
5 Patriotas 11 5 2 4 17:17 17
6 Cartagena 12 4 4 4 21:16 16
7 Quindio 11 4 4 3 9:8 16
8 Atletico F.C. 12 4 3 5 15:19 15
9 Real Santander 12 3 6 3 14:18 15
10 Inter Palmira 11 4 2 5 8:12 14
11 Envigado 11 2 6 3 12:11 12
12 Union Magdalena 11 3 3 5 10:12 12
13 Bogota 11 3 3 5 9:13 12
14 Orsomarso 11 2 4 5 7:11 10
15 Leones 11 2 4 5 8:17 10
16 Barranquilla 11 2 3 6 11:17 9
Promotion - Primera B (Clausura - Quadrangular)