Sport Picks
Atletico F.C. vs Cartagena - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Colombia
Primera B Estadio Olímpico Pascual Guerrero, Cali 
Match Events
17'
17'
Montero F.
34'
34'
Restrepo C.
41'
41'
Aleman J.
AI Match Summary
The Primera B game between Atletico F.C. and Cartagena finished 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
37%
35%
28%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Atletico F.C.
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
28%
/ Low Confidence
- Cartagena carry the better recent record into this one.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
- Regular Primera B form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- History favors Cartagena here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 37.2%
Atletico F.C. Clean Sheet 17%
Cartagena Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Atletico F.C. | Cartagena |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 34 |
| Wins | 5 | 12 |
| Draws | 9 | 12 |
| Losses | 15 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 0.97 | 1.59 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.9 | 1.29 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.13 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 8, 2026 Primera B
Atletico F.C. vs Cartagena
2:2
Feb 13, 2026 Primera B
Cartagena vs Atletico F.C.
4:1
Oct 5, 2025 Primera B
Cartagena vs Atletico F.C.
4:0
Apr 25, 2025 Primera B
Atletico F.C. vs Cartagena
1:2
Sep 12, 2024 Primera B
Cartagena vs Atletico F.C.
3:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Atletico F.C. Compare
Top Goalscorer Restrepo C.
1 Goals Assists Leader Onate A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56
Cartagena Compare
Top Goalscorer Montero F.
1 Goals Assists Leader Aleman J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Atletico F.C. 36 / 100
Cartagena 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Atletico F.C. Cartagena
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Cartagena Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Historical meetings average 3.80 goals per match.
Atletico F.C. found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (29 games).
Defensive concern: Cartagena conceded in 79% of 34 recent games.
Solid form: Atletico F.C. remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Atletico F.C. VS Cartagena
1.13 Goals Scored 1.38
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Atletico F.C.
(Home) 08 Oct
Atletico F.C.
2 : 2 Cartagena
02 Oct
Atletico F.C.
1 : 2 Real Cundinamarca
27 Sept
Envigado
3 : 0 Atletico F.C.
22 Sept
Atletico F.C.
0 : 3 Tigres Futbol Club
14 Sept
Orsomarso
0 : 2 Atletico F.C.
Page 1 of 6
08 Oct
Atletico F.C.
2 : 2 Cartagena
02 Oct
Atletico F.C.
1 : 2 Real Cundinamarca
22 Sept
Atletico F.C.
0 : 3 Tigres Futbol Club
29 Aug
Atletico F.C.
2 : 1 Bogota
06 Aug
Atletico F.C.
2 : 2 Real Santander
Page 1 of 3
Cartagena
(Away) 08 Oct
Atletico F.C.
2 : 2 Cartagena
04 Oct
Cartagena
2 : 3 Boca Juniors de Cali
29 Sept
Union Magdalena
1 : 1 Cartagena
22 Sept
Cartagena
0 : 0 Envigado
12 Sept
Inter Palmira
2 : 1 Cartagena
Page 1 of 7
08 Oct
Atletico F.C.
2 : 2 Cartagena
29 Sept
Union Magdalena
1 : 1 Cartagena
12 Sept
Inter Palmira
2 : 1 Cartagena
05 Sept
Orsomarso
0 : 1 Cartagena
24 Aug
Leones
1 : 6 Cartagena
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Independiente Valle del Cauca | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 16:7 | 24 |
| 2 | Real Cundinamarca | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 19:11 | 23 |
| 3 | Tigres Futbol Club | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 14:5 | 22 |
| 4 | Boca Juniors de Cali | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 18:14 | 18 |
| 5 | Patriotas | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 17:17 | 17 |
| 6 | Cartagena | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 21:16 | 16 |
| 7 | Quindio | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 9:8 | 16 |
| 8 | Atletico F.C. | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 15:19 | 15 |
| 9 | Real Santander | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 14:18 | 15 |
| 10 | Inter Palmira | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 8:12 | 14 |
| 11 | Envigado | 11 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 12:11 | 12 |
| 12 | Union Magdalena | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 10:12 | 12 |
| 13 | Bogota | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 9:13 | 12 |
| 14 | Orsomarso | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 7:11 | 10 |
| 15 | Leones | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 8:17 | 10 |
| 16 | Barranquilla | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 11:17 | 9 |
Promotion - Primera B (Clausura - Quadrangular)
