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Atletico FC vs Cumbaya - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Ecuador Ecuador

Serie B
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Leiton D.
14' Event
Luque D.
27' Event
Martinez F.

AI Match Summary

The Serie B game between Atletico FC and Cumbaya finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Atletico FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Atletico FC
15%
Draws
27%
Cumbaya
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Atletico FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Atletico FC carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Atletico FC a 58% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
Atletico FC Clean Sheet 68%
Cumbaya Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atletico FC Cumbaya
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 13 7
Draws 12 11
Losses 4 10
Goals Scored 1.21 1.11
Goals Conceded 0.66 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 20, 2026 Serie B
Atletico FC vs Cumbaya
3:0
Mar 19, 2026 Serie B
Cumbaya vs Atletico FC
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Atletico FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Leiton D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Luque D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Cumbaya Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atletico FC 50 / 100
Cumbaya 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atletico FC Cumbaya

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Atletico FC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.50 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Atletico FC remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Atletico FC found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (29 games).

Defensive concern: Cumbaya conceded in 61% of 28 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Atletico FC VS Cumbaya
1.5 Goals Scored 1.75
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Atletico FC

(Home)
08 Oct
Atletico FC
2 : 1
San Antonio
03 Oct
Nueve de Octubre
0 : 1
Atletico FC
24 Sept
Atletico FC
2 : 0
CD Cuenca Juniors
17 Sept
Independiente Juniors
1 : 1
Atletico FC
10 Sept
San Antonio
0 : 3
Atletico FC
Page 1 of 6

Cumbaya

(Away)
01 Oct
Cumbaya
0 : 3
Dep. Santo Domingo
26 Sept
EL Nacional
0 : 3
Cumbaya
17 Sept
22 de Julio
1 : 7
Cumbaya
10 Sept
Cumbaya
0 : 1
Gualaceo
04 Sept
Dep. Santo Domingo
2 : 1
Cumbaya
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Independiente Juniors 22 10 9 3 28:16 39
2 Atletico FC 22 9 11 2 25:14 38
3 Nueve de Octubre 22 9 10 3 22:14 37
4 CD Cuenca Juniors 22 9 7 6 20:23 34
5 Vinotinto 22 8 7 7 25:17 31
6 San Antonio 22 7 10 5 24:21 31
7 LDU Portoviejo 22 7 6 9 17:22 27
8 Cumbaya 22 5 11 6 22:22 26
9 Dep. Santo Domingo 22 6 10 6 17:16 25
10 Gualaceo 22 7 8 7 19:16 23
11 EL Nacional 22 2 6 14 15:32 9
12 22 de Julio 22 4 3 15 10:31 9
Promotion - Serie B (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Serie B (Relegation Group)