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Atletico Gloriense vs America de Pedrinhas

Brazil Brazil

Sergipano 2
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Sergipano 2 game between Atletico Gloriense and America de Pedrinhas finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Atletico Gloriense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Atletico Gloriense
6%
Draws
4%
America de Pedrinhas
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Atletico Gloriense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • America de Pedrinhas have managed 0.67 goals a game lately — Atletico Gloriense are scoring more at 2.25.
  • Model gives Atletico Gloriense a 90% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 21%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Atletico Gloriense Clean Sheet 20%
America de Pedrinhas Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atletico Gloriense America de Pedrinhas
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 13 13
Draws 3 4
Losses 16 13
Goals Scored 2.25 0.67
Goals Conceded 0.75 1.67
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 0.67
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 1.67

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 27, 2025 Sergipano 2
Atletico Gloriense vs America de Pedrinhas
2:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atletico Gloriense 85 / 100
America de Pedrinhas 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atletico Gloriense America de Pedrinhas

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ATL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Atletico Gloriense found the back of the net in 75% of recent matches (32 games).

Defensive concern: America de Pedrinhas conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

America de Pedrinhas's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Atletico Gloriense VS America de Pedrinhas
2.25 Goals Scored 0.67
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.67
88% Over 1.5 67%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 17%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Desportiva Aracaju981026:325
2Atletico Gloriense971122:222
3Olimpico EC971122:522
4Frei Paulistano951320:916
5Caninde941414:2013
6America de Pedrinhas93249:1511
7Atletico Central92167:177
8Flamengo SE92078:166
9Independente SE91266:235
10Boca Junior91084:280