Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Atletico Gloriense vs Dorense

Brazil Brazil

Sergipano
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Fabio. J.
34' Event
Fabio. J.
72' Event
Fabio. J.

AI Match Summary

The Sergipano game between Atletico Gloriense and Dorense finished 5-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Atletico Gloriense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Atletico Gloriense
20%
Draws
30%
Dorense
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Atletico Gloriense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Atletico Gloriense carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Atletico Gloriense's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Sergipano form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 93%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Atletico Gloriense Clean Sheet 68%
Dorense Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atletico Gloriense Dorense
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 12 9
Draws 6 5
Losses 13 16
Goals Scored 1.45 0.93
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.67
Expected Goals (xG) 2.16 1.18
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 14, 2026 Sergipano
Atletico Gloriense vs Dorense
5:0
Feb 10, 2024 Sergipano
Dorense vs Atletico Gloriense
1:0
Mar 4, 2023 Sergipano
Dorense vs Atletico Gloriense
0:0
Apr 3, 2021 Sergipano
Dorense vs Atletico Gloriense
2:3
Mar 2, 2021 Sergipano
Atletico Gloriense vs Dorense
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Atletico Gloriense Compare

Top Goalscorer Fabio. J.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Diogo
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.66
Avg xA / game 1.08

Dorense Compare

Avg xG / game 1.07
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atletico Gloriense 95 / 100
Dorense 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atletico Gloriense Dorense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Atletico Gloriense Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dorense let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Atletico Gloriense's goal record stands at 65% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Atletico Gloriense stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Atletico Gloriense VS Dorense
1.75 Goals Scored 0.86
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.57
100% Over 1.5 86%
75% Over 2.5 86%
25% Over 3.5 29%

Recent Form & Match History

Atletico Gloriense

(Home)
18 Aug
Falcon
1 : 0
Atletico Gloriense
13 Aug
Atletico Gloriense
0 : 0
Lagarto
08 Aug
Atletico Gloriense
0 : 1
Falcon
05 Aug
America de Propria
1 : 5
Atletico Gloriense
01 Aug
Guarany SE
1 : 1
Atletico Gloriense
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Dorense

(Away)
14 Feb
Atletico Gloriense
5 : 0
Dorense
11 Feb
Dorense
1 : 2
Confianca
07 Feb
Sergipe
2 : 1
Dorense
04 Feb
Itabaiana
3 : 0
Dorense
31 Jan
Dorense
1 : 0
Falcon
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sergipe 9 6 2 1 13:6 20
2 Itabaiana 9 5 2 2 12:4 17
3 Lagarto 9 4 4 1 16:8 16
4 Confianca 9 4 3 2 10:6 15
5 Guarany SE 9 3 3 3 10:10 12
6 America de Propria 9 2 6 1 8:8 12
7 Falcon 9 3 2 4 8:10 11
8 Atletico Gloriense 9 3 1 5 14:13 10
9 Dorense 9 2 1 6 9:23 7
10 Desportiva Aracaju 9 0 2 7 5:17 2
Promotion - Sergipano (Play Offs)
Promotion - Sergipano (Play Offs)