Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Atletico Granadilla vs Tijarafe

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 12 2011/2012
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Atletico Granadilla in this Tercera Division - Group 12 2011/2012 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Atletico Granadilla.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Atletico Granadilla
15%
Draws
57%
Tijarafe
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Tijarafe

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Tijarafe lately — more wins on the board than Atletico Granadilla.
  • Model gives Tijarafe a 57% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 12 2011/2012 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Atletico Granadilla have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Atletico Granadilla Clean Sheet 13%
Tijarafe Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atletico Granadilla Tijarafe
Matches Played 35 33
Wins 5 7
Draws 8 3
Losses 22 23
Goals Scored 0.86 1.03
Goals Conceded 2.51 2.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 16, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Atletico Granadilla vs Tijarafe
4:0
Sep 29, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Tijarafe vs Atletico Granadilla
0:1
May 13, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Atletico Granadilla vs Tijarafe
1:0
Dec 6, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Tijarafe vs Atletico Granadilla
1:3
Feb 12, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Tijarafe vs Atletico Granadilla
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atletico Granadilla 11 / 100
Tijarafe 75 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atletico Granadilla Tijarafe

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tijarafe Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tijarafe let in goals in 85% of their last 33 matches.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Difficult form: Tijarafe registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Atletico Granadilla scored in 51% of their last 35 games.

Scoring Trends

Atletico Granadilla VS -
0.88 Goals Scored 0
2.38 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Atletico Granadilla

(Home)
01 Aug
Las Zocas
5 : 0
Atletico Granadilla
15 May
Atletico Granadilla
0 : 4
Lanzarote
08 May
SD Tenisca
4 : 0
Atletico Granadilla
29 Apr
Ibarra
2 : 0
Atletico Granadilla
23 Apr
Atletico Granadilla
1 : 0
CD Marino
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Tijarafe

(Away)
19 May
Tijarafe
3 : 0
Vecindario
12 May
Estrella
5 : 1
Tijarafe
04 May
Tijarafe
1 : 0
UD Gomera
28 Apr
Las Zocas
4 : 0
Tijarafe
20 Apr
Tijarafe
2 : 3
San Isidro
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CD Marino 38 23 7 8 77:35 76
2 SD Tenisca 38 22 6 10 60:41 72
3 Las Palmas B 38 20 11 7 68:29 71
4 Vera CD 38 20 10 8 68:40 70
5 Lanzarote 38 20 9 9 50:34 69
6 Atletico Granadilla 38 19 8 11 55:37 65
7 Estrella 38 18 9 11 47:34 63
8 Tenerife B 38 16 11 11 70:53 59
9 Corralejo 38 16 10 12 49:45 58
10 Telde 38 16 6 16 55:52 54
11 San Pedro Martir 38 11 14 13 50:59 47
12 UD San Andres y Sauces 38 13 7 18 47:65 46
13 Mensajero 38 13 6 19 54:63 45
14 Villa Santa Brigida 38 12 9 17 56:66 45
15 Atletico Victoria 38 11 12 15 45:62 45
16 Las Zocas 38 11 8 19 46:60 41
17 Tijarafe 38 11 5 22 39:67 38
18 CD Laguna 38 10 7 21 35:55 37
19 Real Sporting San Jose 38 8 8 22 36:68 32
20 CD Charco Del Pino 38 5 7 26 36:78 22
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2011/2012 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2011/2012 (Main)