Sport Picks
Atletico Grau vs A. Lima
Peru
Liga 1 Estadio Campeones del 36, Sullana 
Match Events
21'
21'
de la Cruz P.
42'
42'
Castillo E.
Assist: Huaman M.
48'
48'
Antoni M.
AI Match Summary
A. Lima in this Liga 1 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored A. Lima.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
51%
20%
29%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Atletico Grau
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
51%
/ Medium Confidence
- A. Lima have won more games recently than Atletico Grau.
- 51% — that's where the model lands on Atletico Grau taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Atletico Grau Clean Sheet 68%
A. Lima Clean Sheet 14%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Atletico Grau | A. Lima |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 11 | 14 |
| Draws | 6 | 10 |
| Losses | 12 | 6 |
| Goals Scored | 1.14 | 1.43 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.14 | 0.83 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.06 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 26, 2026 Liga 1
Atletico Grau vs A. Lima
0:1
Oct 2, 2025 Liga 1
A. Lima vs Atletico Grau
2:1
May 10, 2025 Liga 1
Atletico Grau vs A. Lima
1:1
Sep 18, 2024 Liga 1
Atletico Grau vs A. Lima
1:0
Apr 15, 2024 Liga 1
A. Lima vs Atletico Grau
2:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Atletico Grau Compare
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53
A. Lima Compare
Top Goalscorer Castillo E.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Atletico Grau 59 / 100
A. Lima 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Atletico Grau A. Lima
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Atletico Grau Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Atletico Grau scored in 62% of their last 29 games.
Defensive concern: A. Lima conceded in 63% of 30 recent games.
These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.
Recent resilience: Atletico Grau stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Atletico Grau VS A. Lima
1.13 Goals Scored 1.38
1.38 Goals Conceded 1
50% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Atletico Grau
(Home) 13 Sept
Atletico Grau
3 : 1 Alianza Atl.
06 Sept
Deportivo Garcilaso
4 : 2 Atletico Grau
01 Sept
Atletico Grau
1 : 0 FBC Melgar
26 Aug
Atletico Grau
2 : 3 Sport Boys
21 Aug
FC Cajamarca
1 : 3 Atletico Grau
Page 1 of 6
13 Sept
Atletico Grau
3 : 1 Alianza Atl.
01 Sept
Atletico Grau
1 : 0 FBC Melgar
26 Aug
Atletico Grau
2 : 3 Sport Boys
14 Aug
Atletico Grau
1 : 0 Comerciantes Unidos
01 Aug
Atletico Grau
0 : 1 Sport Boys
Page 1 of 4
A. Lima
(Away) 13 Sept
A. Lima
1 : 2 Universitario de Deportes
06 Sept
Juan Pablo II
1 : 1 A. Lima
30 Aug
A. Lima
0 : 1 Deportivo Garcilaso
23 Aug
FBC Melgar
1 : 1 A. Lima
16 Aug
A. Lima
1 : 0 Cajamarca
Page 1 of 6
06 Sept
Juan Pablo II
1 : 1 A. Lima
23 Aug
FBC Melgar
1 : 1 A. Lima
09 Aug
Sport Boys
1 : 1 A. Lima
26 Jul
Comerciantes Unidos
2 : 2 A. Lima
21 Jun
Carlos Mannucci
3 : 1 A. Lima
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | A. Lima | 17 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 30:8 | 40 |
| 2 | Los Chankas | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 25:21 | 34 |
| 3 | Cienciano | 17 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 34:22 | 33 |
| 4 | Universitario de Deportes | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 24:15 | 29 |
| 5 | FBC Melgar | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 29:20 | 28 |
| 6 | Cusco | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 21:24 | 27 |
| 7 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 21:18 | 26 |
| 8 | Alianza Atl. | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 20:18 | 21 |
| 9 | Comerciantes Unidos | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 18:20 | 21 |
| 10 | AD Tarma | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 22:21 | 20 |
| 11 | Sport Boys | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 15:19 | 20 |
| 12 | Sporting Cristal | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 28:30 | 19 |
| 13 | Cajamarca | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 21:26 | 18 |
| 14 | Moquegua | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 17:24 | 18 |
| 15 | FC Cajamarca | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 23:28 | 17 |
| 16 | Atletico Grau | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 12:18 | 16 |
| 17 | Sport Huancayo | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 21:31 | 16 |
| 18 | Juan Pablo II | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 22:40 | 16 |
Promotion - Liga 1 (Play Offs)
