Sport Picks
Atletico Grau vs Cajamarca - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Peru
Liga 1 Ambrosio Maco Arroyo, Piura 
Match Events
4'
4'
Guarderas R.
Assist: Lavandeira Hernandez P.
18'
18'
Da Luz M.
Assist: Ruidiaz R.
22'
22'
Duarte B.
AI Match Summary
Atletico Grau in this Liga 1 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Atletico Grau.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
85%
15%
0%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Atletico Grau
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
85%
/ Very High Confidence
- Form's been kind to Atletico Grau lately — more wins on the board than Cajamarca.
- 85% — that's where the model lands on Atletico Grau taking it.
- Regular Liga 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Atletico Grau Clean Sheet 68%
Cajamarca Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Atletico Grau | Cajamarca |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 11 | 4 |
| Draws | 6 | 9 |
| Losses | 13 | 16 |
| Goals Scored | 1.13 | 1.28 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.2 | 1.86 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.00 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 18, 2026 Liga 1
Atletico Grau vs Cajamarca
3:1
Jan 30, 2026 Liga 1
Cajamarca vs Atletico Grau
2:0
Oct 19, 2025 Liga 1
Atletico Grau vs Cajamarca
0:2
Jun 13, 2025 Liga 1
Cajamarca vs Atletico Grau
0:2
Sep 30, 2024 Liga 1
Atletico Grau vs Cajamarca
4:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Atletico Grau Compare
Top Goalscorer Guarderas R.
1 Goals Assists Leader Da Luz M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1
Cajamarca Compare
Top Goalscorer Lliuya M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Atletico Grau 68 / 100
Cajamarca 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Atletico Grau Cajamarca
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Atletico Grau Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Cajamarca's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 29 matches.
Cajamarca lost 5 of their last 5 games.
Attacking prowess: Atletico Grau scored in 63% of their last 30 outings.
Games between these two average 2.80 goals.
Scoring Trends
Atletico Grau VS Cajamarca
1.5 Goals Scored 1.13
1.25 Goals Conceded 2.5
50% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Atletico Grau
(Home) 08 Oct
Atletico Grau
0 : 0 Los Chankas
19 Sept
Sporting Cristal
3 : 1 Atletico Grau
13 Sept
Atletico Grau
3 : 1 Alianza Atl.
06 Sept
Deportivo Garcilaso
4 : 2 Atletico Grau
01 Sept
Atletico Grau
1 : 0 FBC Melgar
Page 1 of 6
08 Oct
Atletico Grau
0 : 0 Los Chankas
13 Sept
Atletico Grau
3 : 1 Alianza Atl.
01 Sept
Atletico Grau
1 : 0 FBC Melgar
26 Aug
Atletico Grau
2 : 3 Sport Boys
14 Aug
Atletico Grau
1 : 0 Comerciantes Unidos
Page 1 of 4
Cajamarca
(Away) 20 Sept
Sport Huancayo
3 : 2 Cajamarca
11 Sept
Cajamarca
1 : 2 Juan Pablo II
04 Sept
Alianza Atl.
3 : 2 Cajamarca
29 Aug
Cajamarca
2 : 4 Universitario de Deportes
25 Aug
Alianza Atl.
2 : 1 Cajamarca
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Sport Huancayo
3 : 2 Cajamarca
04 Sept
Alianza Atl.
3 : 2 Cajamarca
25 Aug
Alianza Atl.
2 : 1 Cajamarca
16 Aug
A. Lima
1 : 0 Cajamarca
01 Aug
Cusco
4 : 1 Cajamarca
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 18:6 | 22 |
| 2 | Universitario de Deportes | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 19:16 | 20 |
| 3 | Sporting Cristal | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 20:10 | 19 |
| 4 | Alianza Atl. | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 20:17 | 19 |
| 5 | Sport Huancayo | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 16:13 | 19 |
| 6 | Juan Pablo II | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 20:12 | 18 |
| 7 | FBC Melgar | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 16:9 | 18 |
| 8 | Sport Boys | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 14:7 | 18 |
| 9 | Cusco | 10 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 19:14 | 18 |
| 10 | Atletico Grau | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 14:13 | 17 |
| 11 | A. Lima | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 14:10 | 16 |
| 12 | Cienciano | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 14:18 | 11 |
| 13 | FC Cajamarca | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 18:24 | 10 |
| 14 | Comerciantes Unidos | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 17:18 | 9 |
| 15 | Los Chankas | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 11:24 | 9 |
| 16 | Moquegua | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 7:19 | 7 |
| 17 | AD Tarma | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 7:21 | 5 |
| 18 | Cajamarca | 10 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 11:24 | 2 |
Promotion - Liga 1 (Play Offs)
