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Atletico Grau vs Sport Boys - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Peru Peru

Liga 1 Ambrosio Maco Arroyo, Piura
Our Tip

Match Events

25'
Mora O.
36' Event
Nequecaur L.
Assist: Llontop M.
44'
Guarderas R.

AI Match Summary

The Liga 1 game between Atletico Grau and Sport Boys finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sport Boys.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Atletico Grau
20%
Draws
29%
Sport Boys
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Atletico Grau

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Sport Boys carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Atletico Grau are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Regular Liga 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Atletico Grau Clean Sheet 68%
Sport Boys Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atletico Grau Sport Boys
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 13
Draws 6 8
Losses 13 9
Goals Scored 1.13 1.3
Goals Conceded 1.2 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 26, 2026 Copa de la Liga
Atletico Grau vs Sport Boys
2:3
Aug 1, 2026 Liga 1
Atletico Grau vs Sport Boys
0:1
Feb 14, 2026 Liga 1
Sport Boys vs Atletico Grau
1:0
Sep 23, 2025 Liga 1
Sport Boys vs Atletico Grau
1:1
Apr 27, 2025 Liga 1
Atletico Grau vs Sport Boys
3:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Atletico Grau Compare

Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Sport Boys Compare

Top Goalscorer Nequecaur L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atletico Grau 68 / 100
Sport Boys 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atletico Grau Sport Boys

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Atletico Grau Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Atletico Grau scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Solid form: Atletico Grau remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Difficult form: Sport Boys registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Atletico Grau VS Sport Boys
1.5 Goals Scored 1.75
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.88
50% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Atletico Grau

(Home)
08 Oct
Atletico Grau
0 : 0
Los Chankas
19 Sept
Sporting Cristal
3 : 1
Atletico Grau
13 Sept
Atletico Grau
3 : 1
Alianza Atl.
06 Sept
Deportivo Garcilaso
4 : 2
Atletico Grau
01 Sept
Atletico Grau
1 : 0
FBC Melgar
Page 1 of 6

Sport Boys

(Away)
06 Oct
Alianza Atl.
3 : 0
Sport Boys
27 Sept
Sport Boys
2 : 5
Alianza Atl.
20 Sept
FBC Melgar
1 : 1
Sport Boys
13 Sept
Sport Boys
1 : 0
Deportivo Garcilaso
05 Sept
Sport Huancayo
2 : 1
Sport Boys
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Deportivo Garcilaso 11 7 1 3 18:7 22
2 Sport Huancayo 11 7 1 3 17:13 22
3 Universitario de Deportes 10 6 2 2 19:16 20
4 Sporting Cristal 10 6 1 3 20:10 19
5 Alianza Atl. 10 6 1 3 20:17 19
6 Juan Pablo II 10 5 3 2 20:12 18
7 FBC Melgar 10 5 3 2 16:9 18
8 Sport Boys 10 5 3 2 14:7 18
9 Cusco 10 6 0 4 19:14 18
10 Atletico Grau 11 5 2 4 14:13 17
11 A. Lima 10 4 4 2 14:10 16
12 Cienciano 11 3 2 6 14:18 11
13 FC Cajamarca 10 3 1 6 18:24 10
14 Comerciantes Unidos 10 2 3 5 17:18 9
15 Los Chankas 11 2 3 6 11:24 9
16 Moquegua 11 1 4 6 7:19 7
17 AD Tarma 10 1 2 7 7:21 5
18 Cajamarca 10 0 2 8 11:24 2
Promotion - Liga 1 (Play Offs)