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Atletico Grau vs Sport Loreto Prediction & H2H Stats

Peru Peru

Liga 2 2019
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Barrueta J.
44' Event
Neira J.
49' Event
Sen M.

AI Match Summary

The Liga 2 2019 game between Atletico Grau and Sport Loreto finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Atletico Grau.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Atletico Grau
15%
Draws
28%
Sport Loreto
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Atletico Grau

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Sport Loreto haven't matched Atletico Grau's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Atletico Grau have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Atletico Grau Clean Sheet 68%
Sport Loreto Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atletico Grau Sport Loreto
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 14 7
Draws 5 4
Losses 13 19
Goals Scored 1.56 1.23
Goals Conceded 1.31 2.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 3, 2019 Liga 2
Atletico Grau vs Sport Loreto
4:1
Aug 18, 2019 Liga 2
Sport Loreto vs Atletico Grau
3:6
Sep 23, 2018 Liga 2
Atletico Grau vs Sport Loreto
6:2
Jun 17, 2018 Liga 2
Sport Loreto vs Atletico Grau
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Atletico Grau Compare

Top Goalscorer Neira J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sen M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.58

Sport Loreto Compare

Top Goalscorer Barrueta J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atletico Grau 41 / 100
Sport Loreto 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atletico Grau Sport Loreto

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Atletico Grau Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Sport Loreto conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 6.00 goals.

Attacking prowess: Atletico Grau scored in 69% of their last 32 outings.

Away concern: Sport Loreto has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Atletico Grau VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
1 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Atletico Grau

(Home)
19 Sept
Sporting Cristal
3 : 1
Atletico Grau
13 Sept
Atletico Grau
3 : 1
Alianza Atl.
06 Sept
Deportivo Garcilaso
4 : 2
Atletico Grau
01 Sept
Atletico Grau
1 : 0
FBC Melgar
26 Aug
Atletico Grau
2 : 3
Sport Boys
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Sport Loreto

(Away)
10 Nov
Sport Loreto
0 : 4
Juan Aurich
03 Nov
Atletico Grau
4 : 1
Sport Loreto
26 Oct
Sport Victoria
0 : 3
Sport Loreto
20 Oct
Sport Loreto
0 : 2
Cienciano
12 Oct
Union Huaral
1 : 0
Sport Loreto
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cienciano 22 14 2 6 56:26 44
2 Alianza Atl. 22 13 4 5 45:21 43
3 Juan Aurich 22 13 3 6 35:24 42
4 Atletico Grau 22 13 2 7 52:30 41
5 Santos FC 22 12 5 5 29:21 41
6 Deportivo Coopsol 22 12 3 7 39:27 39
7 Comerciantes Unidos 22 10 3 9 32:33 33
8 Union Huaral 22 8 7 7 30:29 31
9 Los Chankas 22 9 3 10 25:33 30
10 Sport Loreto 22 5 3 14 28:46 15
11 Los Caimanes 22 2 2 18 21:55 5
12 Sport Victoria 22 2 1 19 9:56 7
Promotion - Liga 1 2020 (Apertura)
Promotion - Liga 2 2019 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga 2 2019 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga 2 2019 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga 2 2019 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga 2 2019 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga 2 2019 (Play Offs)