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Atletico Independiente vs CD Choloma Prediction & H2H Stats

Honduras Honduras

Liga Nacional Estadio Carlos Miranda, Comayagua
Our Tip

Match Events

22'
Martinez I.
23' Event
Ferreira L.
26' Event
Cruz S.

AI Match Summary

The Liga Nacional game between Atletico Independiente and CD Choloma finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Atletico Independiente.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Atletico Independiente
30%
Draws
41%
CD Choloma
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: CD Choloma

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and CD Choloma come out ahead of Atletico Independiente on wins alone.
  • CD Choloma are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Regular Liga Nacional form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Atletico Independiente Clean Sheet 20%
CD Choloma Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atletico Independiente CD Choloma
Matches Played 8 29
Wins 2 8
Draws 3 6
Losses 3 15
Goals Scored 0.88 1
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 10, 2026 Liga Nacional
Atletico Independiente vs CD Choloma
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Atletico Independiente Compare

Top Goalscorer Cruz S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Espinoza S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

CD Choloma Compare

Top Goalscorer Ferreira L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atletico Independiente 24 / 100
CD Choloma 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atletico Independiente CD Choloma

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CD Choloma Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Atletico Independiente found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (8 games).

CD Choloma has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Solid form: Atletico Independiente remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Atletico Independiente VS CD Choloma
0.88 Goals Scored 0.88
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Atletico Independiente

(Home)
20 Sept
Olimpia
4 : 0
Atletico Independiente
14 Sept
Atletico Independiente
2 : 1
Juticalpa
05 Sept
Atletico Independiente
0 : 0
Motagua
29 Aug
Platense
2 : 1
Atletico Independiente
22 Aug
Atletico Independiente
1 : 1
Genesis FC
Page 1 of 2

CD Choloma

(Away)
19 Sept
CD Choloma
2 : 0
Estrella
13 Sept
Lobos UPNFM
1 : 0
CD Choloma
05 Sept
CD Choloma
0 : 0
Olancho
30 Aug
Real Espana
2 : 1
CD Choloma
23 Aug
CD Choloma
2 : 0
Platense
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Real Espana 8 5 3 0 13:4 18
2 Olimpia 8 5 2 1 19:7 17
3 Marathon 8 5 2 1 14:6 17
4 Motagua 8 4 1 3 11:8 13
5 Genesis FC 8 3 2 3 10:6 11
6 Olancho 8 2 5 1 6:5 11
7 Estrella 8 2 3 3 13:16 9
8 Atletico Independiente 8 2 3 3 7:11 9
9 Lobos UPNFM 8 2 2 4 7:12 8
10 CD Choloma 8 2 1 5 6:8 7
11 Juticalpa 8 2 0 6 8:19 6
12 Platense 8 1 2 5 6:18 5
Promotion - Liga Nacional (Apertura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga Nacional (Apertura - Play Offs)
Relegation - Liga Nacional (Relegation)