Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Atletico Isleno vs Mercadal - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 11 2011/2012
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 11 2011/2012 game between Atletico Isleno and Mercadal finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
Atletico Isleno
20%
Draws
36%
Mercadal
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Atletico Isleno

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

36% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Mercadal come out ahead of Atletico Isleno on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 11 2011/2012 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Atletico Isleno Clean Sheet 20%
Mercadal Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atletico Isleno Mercadal
Matches Played 32 39
Wins 8 16
Draws 11 8
Losses 13 15
Goals Scored 1.19 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.31 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 0.86
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 10, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Atletico Isleno vs Mercadal
1:1
Oct 27, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Mercadal vs Atletico Isleno
2:2
Jan 15, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Atletico Isleno vs Mercadal
0:0
Aug 20, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Mercadal vs Atletico Isleno
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atletico Isleno 32 / 100
Mercadal 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atletico Isleno Mercadal

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mercadal Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Atletico Isleno scored in 63% of their last 32 outings.

Mercadal let in goals in 64% of their last 39 matches.

Games between these two average 1.75 goals.

Recent resilience: Atletico Isleno stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Mercadal
0 Goals Scored 0.63
0 Goals Conceded 0.88
0% Over 1.5 38%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Atletico Isleno

(Home)
19 May
Atletico Isleno
2 : 1
Penya Ciutadella Esportiva
12 May
Soller
1 : 0
Atletico Isleno
05 May
Atletico Isleno
0 : 2
El Espinar Sant Rafel
27 Apr
Atletico Isleno
0 : 3
Ferriolense
21 Apr
Son Ferrer
1 : 2
Atletico Isleno
Page 1 of 7

Mercadal

(Away)
03 Oct
Mercadal
1 : 3
Constancia
26 Sept
Santanyi
1 : 1
Mercadal
19 Sept
Mercadal
1 : 2
Arenal
12 Sept
Inter Ibiza
0 : 2
Mercadal
05 Sept
Mercadal
1 : 1
Formentera
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Constancia 38 24 13 1 68:21 85
2 Binissalem 38 24 8 6 59:26 80
3 Llosetense 38 23 7 8 81:50 76
4 CD Montuiri 38 22 9 7 66:28 75
5 El Espinar Sant Rafel 38 20 12 6 56:23 72
6 Pena Deportiva 38 20 7 11 61:35 67
7 Santanyi 38 19 10 9 65:40 67
8 Campos 38 14 14 10 38:31 56
9 UD Poblense 38 14 13 11 49:39 55
10 Mercadal 38 14 10 14 42:47 52
11 Collerense 38 11 12 15 46:58 45
12 Felanitx 38 11 9 18 36:58 42
13 Son Ferrer 38 10 12 16 28:50 42
14 Alcudia 38 10 9 19 42:54 39
15 Espana 38 11 6 21 44:66 39
16 Atletico Isleno 38 9 11 18 46:60 38
17 Ferriolense 38 10 6 22 44:60 36
18 Platges de Calvia 38 9 7 22 41:65 34
19 CD Ferrerias 38 5 8 25 27:87 23
20 Alaior 38 4 9 25 35:76 21
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2011/2012 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2011/2012 (Main)