Sport Picks
Atletico Isleno vs UD Poblense
Spain
Tercera Division - Group 11 2011/2012 
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Tercera Division - Group 11 2011/2012 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
57%
15%
28%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Atletico Isleno
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
15%
/ Low Confidence
- UD Poblense have won more games recently than Atletico Isleno.
- Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
- Regular Tercera Division - Group 11 2011/2012 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Atletico Isleno Clean Sheet 20%
UD Poblense Clean Sheet 14%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Atletico Isleno | UD Poblense |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 7 | 13 |
| Draws | 10 | 8 |
| Losses | 13 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.1 | 1.07 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.33 | 0.87 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.10 | 1.05 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jan 19, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
UD Poblense vs Atletico Isleno
1:0
Sep 9, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Atletico Isleno vs UD Poblense
0:0
Mar 31, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Atletico Isleno vs UD Poblense
1:1
Nov 5, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
UD Poblense vs Atletico Isleno
1:2
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Atletico Isleno 32 / 100
UD Poblense 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Atletico Isleno UD Poblense
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Atletico Isleno scored in 60% of their last 30 outings.
Historical meetings average 1.50 goals per match.
UD Poblense's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.
UD Poblense has conceded goals in 53% of their last 30 outings.
Scoring Trends
- VS UD Poblense
0 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 1
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Atletico Isleno
(Home) 19 May
Atletico Isleno
2 : 1 Penya Ciutadella Esportiva
12 May
Soller
1 : 0 Atletico Isleno
05 May
Atletico Isleno
0 : 2 El Espinar Sant Rafel
27 Apr
Atletico Isleno
0 : 3 Ferriolense
21 Apr
Son Ferrer
1 : 2 Atletico Isleno
Page 1 of 6
19 May
Atletico Isleno
2 : 1 Penya Ciutadella Esportiva
05 May
Atletico Isleno
0 : 2 El Espinar Sant Rafel
27 Apr
Atletico Isleno
0 : 3 Ferriolense
14 Apr
Atletico Isleno
1 : 2 Formentera
24 Mar
Atletico Isleno
1 : 2 Felanitx
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UD Poblense
(Away) 20 Sept
Alcoyano
2 : 0 UD Poblense
13 Sept
UD Poblense
1 : 2 Castellonense
06 Sept
La Nucia
1 : 0 UD Poblense
14 Aug
UD Poblense
1 : 0 Baleares
31 May
UD Poblense
1 : 2 Aguilas FC
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Alcoyano
2 : 0 UD Poblense
06 Sept
La Nucia
1 : 0 UD Poblense
24 May
Aguilas FC
0 : 0 UD Poblense
10 May
Numancia
0 : 1 UD Poblense
03 May
SD Ibiza
3 : 1 UD Poblense
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Constancia | 38 | 24 | 13 | 1 | 68:21 | 85 |
| 2 | Binissalem | 38 | 24 | 8 | 6 | 59:26 | 80 |
| 3 | Llosetense | 38 | 23 | 7 | 8 | 81:50 | 76 |
| 4 | CD Montuiri | 38 | 22 | 9 | 7 | 66:28 | 75 |
| 5 | El Espinar Sant Rafel | 38 | 20 | 12 | 6 | 56:23 | 72 |
| 6 | Pena Deportiva | 38 | 20 | 7 | 11 | 61:35 | 67 |
| 7 | Santanyi | 38 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 65:40 | 67 |
| 8 | Campos | 38 | 14 | 14 | 10 | 38:31 | 56 |
| 9 | UD Poblense | 38 | 14 | 13 | 11 | 49:39 | 55 |
| 10 | Mercadal | 38 | 14 | 10 | 14 | 42:47 | 52 |
| 11 | Collerense | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 46:58 | 45 |
| 12 | Felanitx | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 36:58 | 42 |
| 13 | Son Ferrer | 38 | 10 | 12 | 16 | 28:50 | 42 |
| 14 | Alcudia | 38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 42:54 | 39 |
| 15 | Espana | 38 | 11 | 6 | 21 | 44:66 | 39 |
| 16 | Atletico Isleno | 38 | 9 | 11 | 18 | 46:60 | 38 |
| 17 | Ferriolense | 38 | 10 | 6 | 22 | 44:60 | 36 |
| 18 | Platges de Calvia | 38 | 9 | 7 | 22 | 41:65 | 34 |
| 19 | CD Ferrerias | 38 | 5 | 8 | 25 | 27:87 | 23 |
| 20 | Alaior | 38 | 4 | 9 | 25 | 35:76 | 21 |
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2011/2012 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2011/2012 (Main)
