Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Atletico Marte vs Chalatenango

El Salvador El Salvador

Primera Division 2022/2023
Our Tip

Match Events

70' Event
Guerra S.
71' Event
Guerra S.
77' Event
Ibarra L.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Primera Division 2022/2023 game between Atletico Marte and Chalatenango finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Chalatenango.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Atletico Marte
20%
Draws
64%
Chalatenango
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Chalatenango

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Chalatenango come out ahead of Atletico Marte on wins alone.
  • Model gives Atletico Marte a 36% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Primera Division 2022/2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Atletico Marte Clean Sheet 15%
Chalatenango Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atletico Marte Chalatenango
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 5 7
Draws 10 6
Losses 13 15
Goals Scored 0.96 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.39 1.79
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 13, 2023 Primera Division
Atletico Marte vs Chalatenango
1:2
Mar 19, 2023 Primera Division
Chalatenango vs Atletico Marte
0:2
Oct 15, 2022 Primera Division
Atletico Marte vs Chalatenango
0:0
Aug 20, 2022 Primera Division
Chalatenango vs Atletico Marte
0:0
Mar 12, 2022 Primera Division
Atletico Marte vs Chalatenango
4:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Atletico Marte Compare

Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Chalatenango Compare

Top Goalscorer Guerra S.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atletico Marte 35 / 100
Chalatenango 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atletico Marte Chalatenango

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Chalatenango conceded in 82% of 28 recent games.

Atletico Marte's goal record stands at 61% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Difficult form: Chalatenango registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Atletico Marte VS Chalatenango
1.38 Goals Scored 1.75
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Atletico Marte

(Home)
13 May
Atletico Marte
1 : 2
Chalatenango
07 May
Atletico Marte
1 : 2
Aguila
29 Apr
Jocoro
3 : 3
Atletico Marte
26 Apr
11 Deportivo
1 : 0
Atletico Marte
23 Apr
Atletico Marte
2 : 3
Platense Municipal
Page 1 of 6

Chalatenango

(Away)
13 May
Atletico Marte
1 : 2
Chalatenango
07 May
Chalatenango
1 : 2
Jocoro
30 Apr
Chalatenango
0 : 0
Platense Municipal
26 Apr
Aguila
2 : 1
Chalatenango
23 Apr
Chalatenango
2 : 3
11 Deportivo
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Aguila 22 15 4 3 34:14 49
2 Alianza FC 22 10 9 3 32:15 39
3 11 Deportivo 22 7 10 5 23:17 31
4 Dragon 22 8 6 8 23:21 30
5 Luis Angel Firpo 22 6 11 5 20:17 29
6 Metapan 22 7 8 7 29:28 29
7 FAS 22 7 6 9 24:26 27
8 Jocoro 22 8 3 11 25:36 27
9 Santa Tecla 22 6 7 9 26:29 25
10 Chalatenango 22 7 4 11 27:39 25
11 Atletico Marte 22 5 8 9 25:31 23
12 Platense Municipal 22 5 6 11 24:39 21
Promotion - Primera Division 2022/2023 (Clausura - Play Offs)