Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Atletico Marte vs Metapan

El Salvador El Salvador

Primera Division 2022/2023
Our Tip

Match Events

42' Event
Palma J.
48'
Palma J.
86' Event
Ibarra L.

AI Match Summary

The Primera Division 2022/2023 game between Atletico Marte and Metapan finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Atletico Marte.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

7%
Atletico Marte
20%
Draws
73%
Metapan
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Metapan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Metapan come out ahead of Atletico Marte on wins alone.
  • Model gives Metapan a 73% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Primera Division 2022/2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Atletico Marte Clean Sheet 20%
Metapan Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atletico Marte Metapan
Matches Played 28 31
Wins 5 10
Draws 10 10
Losses 13 11
Goals Scored 0.96 1
Goals Conceded 1.39 1.16
Expected Goals (xG) 1.48 1.18
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 16, 2023 Primera Division
Atletico Marte vs Metapan
2:0
Feb 19, 2023 Primera Division
Metapan vs Atletico Marte
0:0
Oct 23, 2022 Primera Division
Metapan vs Atletico Marte
0:0
Oct 1, 2022 Primera Division
Atletico Marte vs Metapan
2:1
May 7, 2022 Primera Division
Metapan vs Atletico Marte
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Atletico Marte Compare

Top Goalscorer Palma J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ibarra L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.74

Metapan Compare

Avg xG / game 1.07
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atletico Marte 24 / 100
Metapan 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atletico Marte Metapan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Metapan Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Atletico Marte scored in 61% of their last 28 games.

Metapan let in goals in 65% of their last 31 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.40 goals per match.

Solid form: Atletico Marte remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Metapan
0 Goals Scored 1.25
0 Goals Conceded 1.75
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Atletico Marte

(Home)
13 May
Atletico Marte
1 : 2
Chalatenango
07 May
Atletico Marte
1 : 2
Aguila
29 Apr
Jocoro
3 : 3
Atletico Marte
26 Apr
11 Deportivo
1 : 0
Atletico Marte
23 Apr
Atletico Marte
2 : 3
Platense Municipal
Page 1 of 6

Metapan

(Away)
27 Sept
Metapan
2 : 0
Cacahuatique
19 Sept
Inter Santa Tecla
0 : 0
Metapan
13 Sept
Luis Angel Firpo
1 : 2
Metapan
09 Sept
Platense Municipal
1 : 2
Metapan
06 Sept
Metapan
0 : 1
Inca Aruba
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Aguila 22 15 4 3 34:14 49
2 Alianza FC 22 10 9 3 32:15 39
3 11 Deportivo 22 7 10 5 23:17 31
4 Dragon 22 8 6 8 23:21 30
5 Luis Angel Firpo 22 6 11 5 20:17 29
6 Metapan 22 7 8 7 29:28 29
7 FAS 22 7 6 9 24:26 27
8 Jocoro 22 8 3 11 25:36 27
9 Santa Tecla 22 6 7 9 26:29 25
10 Chalatenango 22 7 4 11 27:39 25
11 Atletico Marte 22 5 8 9 25:31 23
12 Platense Municipal 22 5 6 11 24:39 21
Promotion - Primera Division 2022/2023 (Clausura - Play Offs)