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Atletico Melilla vs Ejido

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Tercera Division - Group 9 2014/2015
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AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 9 2014/2015 game between Atletico Melilla and Ejido finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ejido.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Atletico Melilla
15%
Draws
85%
Ejido
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ejido

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Ejido carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Ejido a 85% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 9 2014/2015 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Ejido here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 75%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Atletico Melilla Clean Sheet 10%
Ejido Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atletico Melilla Ejido
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 0 7
Draws 5 6
Losses 25 18
Goals Scored 0.43 1.1
Goals Conceded 3.3 1.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.67 2.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 28, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Ejido vs Atletico Melilla
3:1
Sep 16, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Atletico Melilla vs Ejido
1:1
Apr 25, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Atletico Melilla vs Ejido
0:1
Dec 7, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Ejido vs Atletico Melilla
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atletico Melilla 10 / 100
Ejido 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atletico Melilla Ejido

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ejido Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ejido has conceded goals in 87% of their last 31 outings.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Ejido's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Attacking prowess: Atletico Melilla scored in 33% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

Atletico Melilla VS Ejido
0 Goals Scored 0.63
5 Goals Conceded 2.13
100% Over 1.5 63%
100% Over 2.5 50%
100% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Atletico Melilla

(Home)
04 Oct
Atletico Palma del Rio
5 : 0
Atletico Melilla
27 Sept
Atletico Melilla
0 : 5
Atletico Palma del Rio
12 May
Ciudad de Torredonjimeno
10 : 0
Atletico Melilla
04 May
Atletico Melilla
2 : 4
CP Almeria
01 May
Almeria B
14 : 1
Atletico Melilla
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Ejido

(Away)
11 May
Ejido
1 : 3
El Palo
04 May
Huetor Tajar
1 : 0
Ejido
01 May
Ejido
1 : 2
Ciudad de Torredonjimeno
27 Apr
Atletico de Porcuna
1 : 1
Ejido
13 Apr
Ejido
0 : 3
Motril
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Linares 38 27 7 4 88:26 88
2 Malaga B 38 23 6 9 69:36 75
3 UD San Pedro 38 21 10 7 65:35 73
4 Martos 38 22 5 11 66:42 71
5 Loja 38 20 9 9 55:36 69
6 Huetor Tajar 38 17 11 10 53:37 62
7 Los Villares 38 15 13 10 43:37 58
8 Maracena 38 16 9 13 66:52 57
9 Guadix 38 11 18 9 49:49 51
10 Mancha 38 13 11 14 36:34 50
11 Velez 38 13 10 15 49:47 49
12 Espanol Alquian 38 14 6 18 53:70 48
13 Ejido 38 13 8 17 55:75 47
14 CD Ronda 38 12 7 19 52:63 43
15 Antequera 38 10 12 16 51:55 42
16 Alhaurin 38 11 8 19 43:74 41
17 Atarfe Industrial 38 9 10 19 53:70 37
18 Villacarrillo 38 8 7 23 32:64 31
19 Atletico Melilla 38 7 9 22 29:58 30
20 Los Molinos CF 38 6 8 24 32:79 26
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2014/2015 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2014/2015 (Main)