Sport Picks

Spain

Tercera Division - Group 9 2014/2015

Los Molinos CF

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Atletico Melilla play Los Molinos CF in the Tercera Division - Group 9 2014/2015. It looks like a close match. Recently, Atletico Melilla averaged 0.53 goals scored and 3.13 conceded. Los Molinos CF averaged 0.93 goals scored and 2.27 conceded. In past meetings, Atletico Melilla won 2, Los Molinos CF won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Mar 21, 2015 ended 3:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.72 for Atletico Melilla and 1.44 for Los Molinos CF. This points to a Los Molinos CF double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%

Atletico Melilla

19%

Draws

46%

Los Molinos CF

Draw rate projection: 19% Favored: Los Molinos CF

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

74% / Medium Confidence

Atletico Melilla picked up more points recently compared to Los Molinos CF.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.72 vs 1.44 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 58%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 78%

Over 2.5 Goals 58%

Over 3.5 Goals 35%

Over 4.5 Goals 17%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 42%

Atletico Melilla Clean Sheet 16%

Los Molinos CF Clean Sheet 19%

First Half Goal 70%

Second Half Goal 74%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Atletico Melilla	Los Molinos CF
Matches Played	32	30
Wins	2	6
Draws	5	7
Losses	25	17
Goals Scored	0.53	0.93
Goals Conceded	3.13	2.27

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 21, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 9

Atletico Melilla vs Los Molinos CF

Possession: 40% - 41% Cards: 3 - 2

3:1

Nov 9, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 9

Los Molinos CF vs Atletico Melilla

Possession: 47% - 57% Cards: 1 - 1

0:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atletico Melilla 35 / 100

Los Molinos CF 45 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Atletico Melilla Los Molinos CF

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Los Molinos CF or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +29.5%

3.70

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +11.4%

1.92

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Atletico Melilla attacking → ← attacking Los Molinos CF

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Atletico Melilla scored in 38% of their last 32 games.

Los Molinos CF let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Atletico Melilla went unbeaten in 0 of their last 5 games.

Los Molinos CF lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

11 Points in last 5 25

0.25 Goals expected (xG) 0.00

1.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Linares	38	27	7	4	88:26	88
2	Malaga B	38	23	6	9	69:36	75
3	UD San Pedro	38	21	10	7	65:35	73
4	Martos	38	22	5	11	66:42	71
5	Loja	38	20	9	9	55:36	69
6	Huetor Tajar	38	17	11	10	53:37	62
7	Los Villares	38	15	13	10	43:37	58
8	Maracena	38	16	9	13	66:52	57
9	Guadix	38	11	18	9	49:49	51
10	Mancha	38	13	11	14	36:34	50
11	Velez	38	13	10	15	49:47	49
12	Espanol Alquian	38	14	6	18	53:70	48
13	Ejido	38	13	8	17	55:75	47
14	CD Ronda	38	12	7	19	52:63	43
15	Antequera	38	10	12	16	51:55	42
16	Alhaurin	38	11	8	19	43:74	41
17	Atarfe Industrial	38	9	10	19	53:70	37
18	Villacarrillo	38	8	7	23	32:64	31
19	Atletico Melilla	38	7	9	22	29:58	30
20	Los Molinos CF	38	6	8	24	32:79	26