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Atletico-MG U20 vs Athletic Club U20 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Copa do Brasil U20
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Wanderson Jr
52' Event
Barbosa N.
85' Event

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-1. This leg finished 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

54%
Atletico-MG U20
15%
Draws
31%
Athletic Club U20
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Atletico-MG U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Atletico-MG U20 lately — more wins on the board than Athletic Club U20.
  • Atletico-MG U20 are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Atletico-MG U20 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Atletico-MG U20, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Atletico-MG U20 Clean Sheet 20%
Athletic Club U20 Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atletico-MG U20 Athletic Club U20
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 20 18
Draws 2 3
Losses 8 9
Goals Scored 2.53 1.7
Goals Conceded 1 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 8, 2026 Copa do Brasil U20
Atletico-MG U20 vs Athletic Club U20
2:1
Aug 24, 2026 Mineiro U20
Atletico-MG U20 vs Athletic Club U20
3:0
Jun 1, 2026 Mineiro U20
Athletic Club U20 vs Atletico-MG U20
2:1
Aug 23, 2025 Mineiro U20
Atletico-MG U20 vs Athletic Club U20
2:3
May 11, 2024 Mineiro U20
Athletic Club U20 vs Atletico-MG U20
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Atletico-MG U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Wanderson Jr
1 Goals
Assists Leader Barbosa N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Athletic Club U20 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atletico-MG U20 85 / 100
Athletic Club U20 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atletico-MG U20 Athletic Club U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Atletico-MG U20 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Athletic Club U20 has conceded goals in 63% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Atletico-MG U20 went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Atletico-MG U20 scored in 53% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

Atletico-MG U20 VS Athletic Club U20
3 Goals Scored 1.25
1.75 Goals Conceded 0.75
100% Over 1.5 63%
88% Over 2.5 50%
75% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Atletico-MG U20

(Home)
08 Oct
Atletico-MG U20
2 : 1
Athletic Club U20
02 Oct
Coimbra Sports U20
1 : 3
Atletico-MG U20
26 Sept
Atletico-MG U20
5 : 1
Coimbra Sports U20
19 Sept
Atletico-MG U20
4 : 2
Nacional de Muriae U20
13 Sept
America MG U20
4 : 1
Atletico-MG U20
Page 1 of 6

Athletic Club U20

(Away)
08 Oct
Atletico-MG U20
2 : 1
Athletic Club U20
03 Oct
Cruzeiro (Esporte Clube) U20
3 : 0
Athletic Club U20
27 Sept
Athletic Club U20
2 : 1
Cruzeiro (Esporte Clube) U20
19 Sept
Athletic Club U20
0 : 0
Cruzeiro (Esporte Clube) U20
12 Sept
Betim FC U20
0 : 3
Athletic Club U20
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Amazonas U20 1
Monte Roraima U20 0
Galvez U20 0
Santa Cruz AC U20 5
Sao Raimundo RR U20 7
Genus U20 3
Nacional-AM (Manaus) U20 1
Uniao Cacoalense U20 0
Paysandu PA U20 5
Macapa U20 0
Independente AP U20 2
Sao Luis MA U20 0
Tuna Luso U20 3
Batalhao U20 0
Uniao Carmolandense U20 2
Miranda do Norte U20 1
Fortaleza U20 1
Piaui U20 2
America RN U20 3
QFC U20 2
Ceara U20 2
Atletico-PI U20 1
Ferroviario U20 1
EC de Patos U20 0
CSA U20 4
Confianca PB U20 0
Santa Cruz U20 3
Clube Sociedade Esportiva U20 0
Nautico U20 3
America PE U20 1
Sergipe U20 1
Falcon U20 0
Flamengo RJ U20 6
Forte U20 0
Vasco U20 11
Rio Branco ES U20 0
Botafogo RJ U20 4
Estrela De Marco U20 0
Bahia U20 16
Alagoinhas U20 0
Atletico-MG U20 4
Sobradinho U20 0
Athletic Club U20 2
Real Brasilia U20 1
Cruzeiro (Esporte Clube) U20 3
Guanabara City U20 1
Goias U20 4
Trindade U20 2
Palmeiras U20 10
Naviraiense U20 0
Santos U20 2
Cuiaba U20 1
Sao Paulo U20 13
Gremio Santo Antonio U20 1
Athletico-PR U20 5
Luverdense U20 2
Gremio U20 5
Real SC U20 0
Operario PR U20 3
Chapecoense-SC U20 2
Internacional U20 0
Barra FC U20 1
Criciuma U20 3
FC Cascavel U20 1
1/16-finals
Amazonas U20 4
Santa Cruz AC U20 1
Sao Raimundo RR U20 4
Nacional-AM (Manaus) U20 3
Paysandu PA U20 6
Independente AP U20 0
Tuna Luso U20 1
Uniao Carmolandense U20 2
Piaui U20 2
America RN U20 3
Ceara U20 1
Ferroviario U20 0
CSA U20 0
Santa Cruz U20 1
Nautico U20 6
Sergipe U20 2
Flamengo RJ U20 3
Vasco U20 2
Botafogo RJ U20 1
Bahia U20 0
Atletico-MG U20 2
Athletic Club U20 1
Cruzeiro (Esporte Clube) U20 1
Goias U20 2
Palmeiras U20 -
Santos U20 -
Sao Paulo U20 3
Athletico-PR U20 1
Gremio U20 1
Operario PR U20 3
Barra FC U20 0
Criciuma U20 3
1/8-finals
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Quarter-finals
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Semi-finals
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Final
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