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Atletico-MG U20 vs Mirassol U20

Brazil Brazil

Brasileiro U20 B
Our Tip

Match Events

59' Event
Breno Freitas da Silva W.
79' Event
Venerando R.
86' Event
Marcinkevicius J.

AI Match Summary

The Brasileiro U20 B game between Atletico-MG U20 and Mirassol U20 finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Atletico-MG U20.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Atletico-MG U20
15%
Draws
21%
Mirassol U20
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Atletico-MG U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Atletico-MG U20 come out ahead of Mirassol U20 on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Atletico-MG U20's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Brasileiro U20 B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Atletico-MG U20 Clean Sheet 20%
Mirassol U20 Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atletico-MG U20 Mirassol U20
Matches Played 28 31
Wins 18 8
Draws 2 7
Losses 8 16
Goals Scored 2.46 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.04 1.65
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 14, 2026 Brasileiro U20 B
Atletico-MG U20 vs Mirassol U20
3:0
Jan 12, 2022 Copinha
Mirassol U20 vs Atletico-MG U20
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Atletico-MG U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Breno Freitas da Silva W.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Venerando R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Mirassol U20 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atletico-MG U20 85 / 100
Mirassol U20 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atletico-MG U20 Mirassol U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Atletico-MG U20 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mirassol U20's defensive record shows goals conceded in 81% of 31 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.50 goals when they meet.

Atletico-MG U20 went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Mirassol U20's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Atletico-MG U20 VS Mirassol U20
2.38 Goals Scored 1
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Atletico-MG U20

(Home)
19 Sept
Atletico-MG U20
4 : 2
Nacional de Muriae U20
13 Sept
America MG U20
4 : 1
Atletico-MG U20
08 Sept
Atletico-MG U20
4 : 0
Sobradinho U20
30 Aug
Atletico-MG U20
4 : 0
Betim FC U20
24 Aug
Atletico-MG U20
3 : 0
Athletic Club U20
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Mirassol U20

(Away)
12 Sept
Santos U20
2 : 0
Mirassol U20
04 Sept
Mirassol U20
2 : 3
Ponte Preta U20
21 Aug
Portuguesa U20
0 : 0
Mirassol U20
15 Aug
Sertaozinho U20
1 : 0
Mirassol U20
07 Aug
Mirassol U20
2 : 1
Itapirense U20
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ceara U20 7 6 1 0 15:4 19
2 CRB U20 7 4 2 1 9:6 14
3 Atletico-MG U20 7 4 1 2 13:5 13
4 Goias U20 7 4 1 2 12:6 13
5 Novorizontino U20 7 3 1 3 9:9 10
6 Mirassol U20 7 2 0 5 8:17 6
7 Chapecoense-SC U20 7 1 2 4 5:10 5
8 Brusque U20 7 0 0 7 5:19 0
Promotion - Brasileiro U20 B (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atletico GO U20 7 5 0 2 13:9 15
2 Coritiba U20 7 4 2 1 14:7 14
3 Sport Recife U20 7 4 1 2 15:9 13
4 Internacional U20 7 4 0 3 14:13 12
5 Vila Nova FC U20 7 3 2 2 15:16 11
6 Botafogo SP U20 7 3 1 3 15:9 10
7 Paysandu PA U20 7 1 0 6 5:13 3
8 Operario PR U20 7 1 0 6 5:20 3
Promotion - Brasileiro U20 B (Play Offs)