Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Atletico-MG U20 vs Sobradinho U20

Brazil Brazil

Copa do Brasil U20
Our Tip

Match Events

21' Event
Breno Freitas da Silva W.
27' Event
Breno Freitas da Silva W.
85' Event
Barbosa N.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 4-0. The second leg ended 4-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Atletico-MG U20
15%
Draws
28%
Sobradinho U20
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Atletico-MG U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Sobradinho U20 haven't matched Atletico-MG U20's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Atletico-MG U20's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Atletico-MG U20 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Atletico-MG U20, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.6%
Atletico-MG U20 Clean Sheet 20%
Sobradinho U20 Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atletico-MG U20 Sobradinho U20
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 20 16
Draws 2 4
Losses 8 10
Goals Scored 2.63 2.53
Goals Conceded 1 0.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 8, 2026 Copa do Brasil U20
Atletico-MG U20 vs Sobradinho U20
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Atletico-MG U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Breno Freitas da Silva W.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Barbosa N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Sobradinho U20 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atletico-MG U20 85 / 100
Sobradinho U20 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atletico-MG U20 Sobradinho U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Atletico-MG U20 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Atletico-MG U20 remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Sobradinho U20 lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Atletico-MG U20 scored in 50% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

Atletico-MG U20 VS Sobradinho U20
2.38 Goals Scored 2.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Atletico-MG U20

(Home)
26 Sept
Atletico-MG U20
5 : 1
Coimbra Sports U20
19 Sept
Atletico-MG U20
4 : 2
Nacional de Muriae U20
13 Sept
America MG U20
4 : 1
Atletico-MG U20
08 Sept
Atletico-MG U20
4 : 0
Sobradinho U20
30 Aug
Atletico-MG U20
4 : 0
Betim FC U20
Page 1 of 6

Sobradinho U20

(Away)
08 Sept
Atletico-MG U20
4 : 0
Sobradinho U20
29 Aug
Brasiliense U20
2 : 1
Sobradinho U20
23 Aug
Capital DF U20
1 : 0
Sobradinho U20
15 Aug
Sobradinho U20
1 : 0
Capital DF U20
08 Aug
Canaa U20
0 : 2
Sobradinho U20
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Amazonas U20 1
Monte Roraima U20 0
Galvez U20 0
Santa Cruz AC U20 5
Sao Raimundo RR U20 7
Genus U20 3
Nacional-AM (Manaus) U20 1
Uniao Cacoalense U20 0
Paysandu PA U20 5
Macapa U20 0
Independente AP U20 2
Sao Luis MA U20 0
Tuna Luso U20 3
Batalhao U20 0
Uniao Carmolandense U20 2
Miranda do Norte U20 1
Fortaleza U20 1
Piaui U20 2
America RN U20 3
QFC U20 2
Ceara U20 2
Atletico-PI U20 1
Ferroviario U20 1
EC de Patos U20 0
CSA U20 4
Confianca PB U20 0
Santa Cruz U20 3
Clube Sociedade Esportiva U20 0
Nautico U20 3
America PE U20 1
Sergipe U20 1
Falcon U20 0
Flamengo RJ U20 6
Forte U20 0
Vasco U20 11
Rio Branco ES U20 0
Botafogo RJ U20 4
Estrela De Marco U20 0
Bahia U20 16
Alagoinhas U20 0
Atletico-MG U20 4
Sobradinho U20 0
Athletic Club U20 2
Real Brasilia U20 1
Cruzeiro (Esporte Clube) U20 3
Guanabara City U20 1
Goias U20 4
Trindade U20 2
Palmeiras U20 10
Naviraiense U20 0
Santos U20 2
Cuiaba U20 1
Sao Paulo U20 13
Gremio Santo Antonio U20 1
Athletico-PR U20 5
Luverdense U20 2
Gremio U20 5
Real SC U20 0
Operario PR U20 3
Chapecoense-SC U20 2
Internacional U20 0
Barra FC U20 1
Criciuma U20 3
FC Cascavel U20 1
1/16-finals
Amazonas U20 -
Santa Cruz AC U20 -
Sao Raimundo RR U20 -
Nacional-AM (Manaus) U20 -
Paysandu PA U20 -
Independente AP U20 -
Tuna Luso U20 -
Uniao Carmolandense U20 -
Piaui U20 -
America RN U20 -
Ceara U20 -
Ferroviario U20 -
CSA U20 -
Santa Cruz U20 -
Nautico U20 -
Sergipe U20 -
Flamengo RJ U20 -
Vasco U20 -
Botafogo RJ U20 -
Bahia U20 -
Atletico-MG U20 -
Athletic Club U20 -
Cruzeiro (Esporte Clube) U20 -
Goias U20 -
Palmeiras U20 -
Santos U20 -
Sao Paulo U20 -
Athletico-PR U20 -
Gremio U20 -
Operario PR U20 -
Barra FC U20 -
Criciuma U20 -
1/8-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Quarter-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -