Sport Picks
Match Events
45'
45'
Ruan Tressoldi
Assist: Bernard
46'
46'
Sub
Ramos S. In: Marcos Victor
Out: Ramos S.
57'
57'
Ademir
Assist: Rodrigo Nestor
AI Match Summary
The Serie A Betano game between Atletico-MG and Bahia finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
36%
44%
20%
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
71%
/ Medium Confidence
- Bahia haven't matched Atletico-MG's recent run of results.
- 44% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- Regular Serie A Betano form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Atletico-MG Clean Sheet 20%
Bahia Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Atletico-MG | Bahia |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 27 | 28 |
| Wins | 13 | 11 |
| Draws | 4 | 8 |
| Losses | 10 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.5 | 1.63 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.88 | 1.5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.50 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 0.88 | 1.50 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 21, 2026 Serie A Betano
Atletico-MG vs Bahia
1:1
Nov 5, 2025 Serie A Betano
Atletico-MG vs Bahia
3:0
Jul 13, 2025 Serie A Betano
Bahia vs Atletico-MG
2:1
Sep 15, 2024 Serie A Betano
Bahia vs Atletico-MG
3:0
Jun 2, 2024 Serie A Betano
Atletico-MG vs Bahia
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Atletico-MG Compare
Top Goalscorer Ruan Tressoldi
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75
Bahia Compare
Top Goalscorer Ademir
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Atletico-MG 36 / 100
Bahia 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Atletico-MG Bahia
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick BAH Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Bahia has conceded goals in 82% of their last 28 outings.
Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.
Recent resilience: Atletico-MG stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Atletico-MG's goal record stands at 59% scoring rate across 27 recent games.
Scoring Trends
Atletico-MG VS Bahia
1.5 Goals Scored 1.63
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Atletico-MG
(Home) 31 May
Vasco
0 : 1 Atletico-MG
27 May
Atletico-MG
1 : 0 Academia Puerto Cabello
24 May
Corinthians
1 : 0 Atletico-MG
21 May
Atletico-MG
2 : 0 Cienciano
16 May
Atletico-MG
3 : 1 Mirassol
Page 1 of 6
27 May
Atletico-MG
1 : 0 Academia Puerto Cabello
21 May
Atletico-MG
2 : 0 Cienciano
16 May
Atletico-MG
3 : 1 Mirassol
10 May
Atletico-MG
1 : 1 Botafogo RJ
26 Apr
Atletico-MG
0 : 4 Flamengo RJ
Page 1 of 3
Bahia
(Away) 17 Jul
Bahia
2 : 0 Chapecoense-SC
12 Jul
Fluminense
2 : 0 Bahia
04 Jul
Bahia
4 : 1 Montevideo City
30 May
Bahia
2 : 1 Botafogo RJ
25 May
Coritiba
3 : 2 Bahia
Page 1 of 6
12 Jul
Fluminense
2 : 0 Bahia
25 May
Coritiba
3 : 2 Bahia
14 May
Remo
2 : 1 Bahia
03 May
Sao Paulo
2 : 2 Bahia
19 Apr
Flamengo RJ
2 : 0 Bahia
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Palmeiras | 18 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 30:13 | 41 |
| 2 | Flamengo RJ | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 31:16 | 34 |
| 3 | Fluminense | 19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 29:24 | 32 |
| 4 | Bragantino | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 26:20 | 30 |
| 5 | Athletico-PR | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 24:18 | 30 |
| 6 | Bahia | 19 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 28:24 | 30 |
| 7 | Coritiba | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 24:24 | 26 |
| 8 | Sao Paulo | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 23:20 | 25 |
| 9 | Botafogo RJ | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 33:32 | 25 |
| 10 | Atletico-MG | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 23:24 | 25 |
| 11 | Vitoria | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 22:25 | 25 |
| 12 | Corinthians | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 18:19 | 24 |
| 13 | Cruzeiro | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 24:28 | 24 |
| 14 | Internacional | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 21:22 | 21 |
| 15 | Santos | 19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 27:31 | 21 |
| 16 | Gremio | 19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 21:25 | 21 |
| 17 | Vasco | 19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 22:30 | 20 |
| 18 | Mirassol | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 20:25 | 19 |
| 19 | Remo | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 21:29 | 18 |
| 20 | Chapecoense-SC | 18 | 1 | 6 | 11 | 17:35 | 9 |
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana 2027 (Group Stage)
Relegation - Serie B 2027 (Main)