Sport Picks
Match Events
45'
45'
Ruan Tressoldi
Assist: Bernard
46'
46'
Sub
Ramos S. In: Marcos Victor
Out: Ramos S.
57'
57'
Ademir
Assist: Rodrigo Nestor
AI Match Summary
The Serie A Betano game between Atletico-MG and Bahia finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
31%
15%
54%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bahia
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
54%
/ Medium Confidence
- Bahia haven't matched Atletico-MG's recent run of results.
- 54% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- Regular Serie A Betano form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 28%
Over 4.5 Goals 13%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Atletico-MG Clean Sheet 20%
Bahia Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Atletico-MG | Bahia |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 14 | 12 |
| Draws | 10 | 9 |
| Losses | 5 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.48 | 1.57 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.07 | 1.4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 21, 2026 Serie A Betano
Atletico-MG vs Bahia
1:1
Nov 5, 2025 Serie A Betano
Atletico-MG vs Bahia
3:0
Jul 13, 2025 Serie A Betano
Bahia vs Atletico-MG
2:1
Sep 15, 2024 Serie A Betano
Bahia vs Atletico-MG
3:0
Jun 2, 2024 Serie A Betano
Atletico-MG vs Bahia
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Atletico-MG Compare
Top Goalscorer Ruan Tressoldi
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6
Bahia Compare
Top Goalscorer Ademir
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Atletico-MG 36 / 100
Bahia 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Atletico-MG Bahia
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Bahia Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Atletico-MG scored in 69% of their last 29 outings.
Defensive concern: Bahia conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.
These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.
Recent resilience: Atletico-MG stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Atletico-MG VS Bahia
1.38 Goals Scored 2
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.43
75% Over 1.5 86%
50% Over 2.5 71%
13% Over 3.5 43%
Recent Form & Match History
Atletico-MG
(Home) 19 Sept
Atletico-MG
1 : 1 Chapecoense-SC
16 Sept
Atletico-MG
5 : 2 Santos
12 Sept
Atletico-MG
3 : 1 Fluminense
09 Sept
Santos
2 : 0 Atletico-MG
05 Sept
Sao Paulo
2 : 0 Atletico-MG
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Atletico-MG
1 : 1 Chapecoense-SC
16 Sept
Atletico-MG
5 : 2 Santos
12 Sept
Atletico-MG
3 : 1 Fluminense
02 Sept
Atletico-MG
2 : 1 Cruzeiro
29 Aug
Atletico-MG
2 : 1 Vitoria
Page 1 of 3
Bahia
(Away) 20 Sept
Athletico-PR
2 : 1 Bahia
14 Sept
Bahia
2 : 1 Remo
05 Sept
Bragantino
2 : 3 Bahia
30 Aug
Bahia
3 : 2 Internacional
23 Aug
Vitoria
0 : 2 Bahia
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Athletico-PR
2 : 1 Bahia
05 Sept
Bragantino
2 : 3 Bahia
23 Aug
Vitoria
0 : 2 Bahia
16 Aug
Chapecoense-SC
3 : 3 Bahia
30 Jul
Fluminense
0 : 0 Bahia
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Flamengo RJ | 28 | 18 | 6 | 4 | 55:23 | 60 |
| 2 | Palmeiras | 28 | 16 | 9 | 3 | 47:21 | 57 |
| 3 | Athletico-PR | 28 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 43:32 | 49 |
| 4 | Fluminense | 28 | 13 | 9 | 6 | 44:36 | 48 |
| 5 | Bahia | 28 | 12 | 10 | 6 | 43:35 | 46 |
| 6 | Cruzeiro | 28 | 13 | 6 | 9 | 42:40 | 45 |
| 7 | Atletico-MG | 27 | 11 | 7 | 9 | 36:32 | 40 |
| 8 | Santos | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 41:40 | 38 |
| 9 | Coritiba | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 37:43 | 38 |
| 10 | Bragantino | 27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | 33:31 | 36 |
| 11 | Sao Paulo | 27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | 32:30 | 36 |
| 12 | Botafogo RJ | 28 | 9 | 8 | 11 | 41:45 | 35 |
| 13 | Vitoria | 28 | 9 | 6 | 13 | 28:42 | 33 |
| 14 | Corinthians | 28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | 29:32 | 32 |
| 15 | Mirassol | 28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | 33:42 | 32 |
| 16 | Vasco | 27 | 8 | 7 | 12 | 34:41 | 31 |
| 17 | Gremio | 28 | 7 | 8 | 13 | 30:38 | 29 |
| 18 | Internacional | 28 | 6 | 10 | 12 | 30:36 | 28 |
| 19 | Remo | 28 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 32:47 | 23 |
| 20 | Chapecoense-SC | 27 | 3 | 9 | 15 | 29:53 | 18 |
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana 2027 (Group Stage)
Relegation - Serie B 2027 (Main)
