Sport Picks
Atletico-MG vs Chapecoense-SC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Brazil
Serie A Betano MRV Arena, Belo Horizonte 
Match Events
44'
44'
Tulio
Assist: Dudu Marques
48'
48'
Vitor Hugo
58'
58'
Sub
Pascini K. In: Cassierra M.
Out: Pascini K.
AI Match Summary
The Serie A Betano game between Atletico-MG and Chapecoense-SC finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
45%
35%
20%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Atletico-MG
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
45%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Atletico-MG come out ahead of Chapecoense-SC on wins alone.
- Model gives Atletico-MG a 45% chance of winning this.
- Regular Serie A Betano form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Atletico-MG Clean Sheet 20%
Chapecoense-SC Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Atletico-MG | Chapecoense-SC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 27 | 27 |
| Wins | 13 | 8 |
| Draws | 11 | 7 |
| Losses | 3 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.52 | 1.22 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.96 | 1.67 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 19, 2026 Serie A Betano
Atletico-MG vs Chapecoense-SC
1:1
Apr 2, 2026 Serie A Betano
Chapecoense-SC vs Atletico-MG
0:4
Oct 6, 2021 Serie A Betano
Chapecoense-SC vs Atletico-MG
2:2
Jun 21, 2021 Serie A Betano
Atletico-MG vs Chapecoense-SC
1:1
Oct 30, 2019 Serie A Betano
Atletico-MG vs Chapecoense-SC
0:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Atletico-MG Compare
Top Goalscorer Cassierra M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6
Chapecoense-SC Compare
Top Goalscorer Tulio
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Atletico-MG 49 / 100
Chapecoense-SC 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Atletico-MG Chapecoense-SC
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Atletico-MG Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 6:4
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Chapecoense-SC let in goals in 89% of their last 27 matches.
Recent resilience: Atletico-MG stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.
Atletico-MG found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (27 games).
Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.
Scoring Trends
Atletico-MG VS Chapecoense-SC
1.75 Goals Scored 0.75
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Atletico-MG
(Home) 08 Oct
Athletico-PR
2 : 2 Atletico-MG
03 Oct
Atletico-MG
1 : 0 Bragantino
19 Sept
Atletico-MG
1 : 1 Chapecoense-SC
16 Sept
Atletico-MG
5 : 2 Santos
12 Sept
Atletico-MG
3 : 1 Fluminense
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Atletico-MG
1 : 0 Bragantino
19 Sept
Atletico-MG
1 : 1 Chapecoense-SC
16 Sept
Atletico-MG
5 : 2 Santos
12 Sept
Atletico-MG
3 : 1 Fluminense
02 Sept
Atletico-MG
2 : 1 Cruzeiro
Page 1 of 3
Chapecoense-SC
(Away) 07 Oct
Vitoria
4 : 0 Chapecoense-SC
26 Sept
Atl. Nacional
1 : 1 Chapecoense-SC
19 Sept
Atletico-MG
1 : 1 Chapecoense-SC
12 Sept
Chapecoense-SC
1 : 2 Internacional
06 Sept
Corinthians
1 : 2 Chapecoense-SC
Page 1 of 6
07 Oct
Vitoria
4 : 0 Chapecoense-SC
26 Sept
Atl. Nacional
1 : 1 Chapecoense-SC
19 Sept
Atletico-MG
1 : 1 Chapecoense-SC
06 Sept
Corinthians
1 : 2 Chapecoense-SC
30 Aug
Gremio
3 : 1 Chapecoense-SC
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Flamengo RJ | 29 | 18 | 7 | 4 | 57:25 | 61 |
| 2 | Palmeiras | 29 | 17 | 9 | 3 | 48:21 | 60 |
| 3 | Fluminense | 29 | 14 | 9 | 6 | 48:36 | 51 |
| 4 | Athletico-PR | 29 | 14 | 8 | 7 | 45:34 | 50 |
| 5 | Cruzeiro | 29 | 14 | 6 | 9 | 44:40 | 48 |
| 6 | Bahia | 29 | 12 | 10 | 7 | 43:36 | 46 |
| 7 | Atletico-MG | 29 | 12 | 8 | 9 | 39:34 | 44 |
| 8 | Santos | 29 | 11 | 9 | 9 | 45:43 | 42 |
| 9 | Coritiba | 29 | 10 | 8 | 11 | 37:47 | 38 |
| 10 | Bragantino | 29 | 10 | 7 | 12 | 34:33 | 37 |
| 11 | Sao Paulo | 29 | 10 | 6 | 13 | 33:34 | 36 |
| 12 | Vitoria | 29 | 10 | 6 | 13 | 32:42 | 36 |
| 13 | Botafogo RJ | 29 | 9 | 8 | 12 | 42:47 | 35 |
| 14 | Vasco | 29 | 9 | 8 | 12 | 36:42 | 35 |
| 15 | Mirassol | 29 | 8 | 9 | 12 | 34:43 | 33 |
| 16 | Corinthians | 29 | 8 | 8 | 13 | 30:34 | 32 |
| 17 | Internacional | 29 | 7 | 10 | 12 | 32:37 | 31 |
| 18 | Gremio | 29 | 7 | 9 | 13 | 31:39 | 30 |
| 19 | Remo | 30 | 5 | 10 | 15 | 33:48 | 25 |
| 20 | Chapecoense-SC | 28 | 3 | 9 | 16 | 29:57 | 18 |
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana 2027 (Group Stage)
Relegation - Serie B 2027 (Main)
