Sport Picks
Atletico Mineros vs UD Samano - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Spain
Tercera RFEF - Group 3 
Match Events
29'
29'
Ortiz I.
72'
72'
Helguera O.
86'
86'
Marta D.
AI Match Summary
UD Samano in this Tercera RFEF - Group 3 matchup, with the score ending 0-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored UD Samano.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
34%
20%
46%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: UD Samano
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
46%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Atletico Mineros lately — more wins on the board than UD Samano.
- UD Samano are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 3 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors UD Samano here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 91.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 54%
Over 4.5 Goals 24%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Atletico Mineros Clean Sheet 19%
UD Samano Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Atletico Mineros | UD Samano |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 32 | 33 |
| Wins | 10 | 5 |
| Draws | 7 | 6 |
| Losses | 15 | 22 |
| Goals Scored | 1.06 | 1 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.69 | 2.45 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.08 | 1.29 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 3, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Atletico Mineros vs UD Samano
0:4
Feb 1, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
UD Samano vs Atletico Mineros
3:0
Sep 21, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Atletico Mineros vs UD Samano
0:3
Apr 20, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
UD Samano vs Atletico Mineros
3:0
Dec 2, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Atletico Mineros vs UD Samano
1:4
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Atletico Mineros Compare
Avg xG / game 1.6
Avg xA / game 1.04
UD Samano Compare
Top Goalscorer Ortiz I.
1 Goals Assists Leader Helguera O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.17
Avg xA / game 0.72
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Atletico Mineros 10 / 100
UD Samano 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Atletico Mineros UD Samano
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick UD Samano Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: UD Samano conceded in 91% of 33 recent games.
Games between these two average 3.60 goals.
Atletico Mineros found the back of the net in 56% of recent matches (32 games).
Recent resilience: Atletico Mineros stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Atletico Mineros VS UD Samano
0.67 Goals Scored 0.75
1.83 Goals Conceded 3.5
83% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 100%
33% Over 3.5 75%
Recent Form & Match History
Atletico Mineros
(Home) 03 Oct
Atletico Mineros
0 : 4 UD Samano
27 Sept
Castro
0 : 2 Atletico Mineros
19 Sept
Atletico Mineros
0 : 2 Cayon CD
13 Sept
CD Revilla
4 : 0 Atletico Mineros
06 Sept
Atletico Mineros
2 : 1 Guarnizo
Page 1 of 7
03 Oct
Atletico Mineros
0 : 4 UD Samano
19 Sept
Atletico Mineros
0 : 2 Cayon CD
06 Sept
Atletico Mineros
2 : 1 Guarnizo
04 May
Atletico Mineros
2 : 2 Cayon CD
17 Apr
Atletico Mineros
0 : 1 CD Revilla
Page 1 of 4
UD Samano
(Away) 03 Oct
Atletico Mineros
0 : 4 UD Samano
27 Sept
Cayon CD
1 : 1 UD Samano
20 Sept
UD Samano
4 : 1 Guarnizo
13 Sept
Vimenor
2 : 1 UD Samano
05 Sept
UD Samano
2 : 2 CD Barquereno
Page 1 of 7
03 Oct
Atletico Mineros
0 : 4 UD Samano
27 Sept
Cayon CD
1 : 1 UD Samano
13 Sept
Vimenor
2 : 1 UD Samano
26 Apr
Marino De Luanco
4 : 1 UD Samano
12 Apr
Langreo
4 : 1 UD Samano
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CD Tropezon | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 11:2 | 15 |
| 2 | Bezana | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 11:3 | 15 |
| 3 | CD Laredo | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 12:2 | 12 |
| 4 | Vimenor | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7:3 | 10 |
| 5 | Cayon CD | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 5:2 | 10 |
| 6 | Torina | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 8:2 | 9 |
| 7 | UD Samano | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 12:6 | 8 |
| 8 | CD Revilla | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 10:6 | 8 |
| 9 | Selaya | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5:7 | 7 |
| 10 | Atletico Mineros | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 4:11 | 6 |
| 11 | Castro | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4:6 | 5 |
| 12 | UM Escobedo | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3:7 | 5 |
| 13 | Guarnizo | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6:9 | 4 |
| 14 | Solares | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3:6 | 4 |
| 15 | Velarde | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3:8 | 4 |
| 16 | Atletico Albericia | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3:9 | 1 |
| 17 | Naval Reinosa | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4:13 | 1 |
| 18 | CD Barquereno | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2:11 | 1 |
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 3 (Play Offs)
