Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
The Paulista A4 2019 game between Atletico Mogi and Jacarei FC finished 2-6, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Jacarei FC.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
18%
22%
60%
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Jacarei FC
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
82%
/ Very High Confidence
- Jacarei FC carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model gives Jacarei FC a 60% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Jacarei FC here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 62.2%
Atletico Mogi Clean Sheet 20%
Jacarei FC Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Atletico Mogi | Jacarei FC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 34 |
| Wins | 4 | 15 |
| Draws | 5 | 11 |
| Losses | 21 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 0 | 0.75 |
| Goals Conceded | 0 | 1.13 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jun 17, 2023 Paulista A4
Atletico Mogi vs Jacarei FC
0:2
May 13, 2023 Paulista A4
Jacarei FC vs Atletico Mogi
1:0
Jun 11, 2022 Paulista A4
Jacarei FC vs Atletico Mogi
9:0
May 7, 2022 Paulista A4
Atletico Mogi vs Jacarei FC
0:8
Jun 23, 2019 Paulista A4
Jacarei FC vs Atletico Mogi
3:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Atletico Mogi 20 / 100
Jacarei FC 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Atletico Mogi Jacarei FC
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick JAC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
H2H data points to 4.60 goals as a typical output.
Atletico Mogi found the back of the net in 43% of recent matches (30 games).
Jacarei FC's defensive record shows goals conceded in 41% of 34 matches.
Recent resilience: Atletico Mogi stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
- VS Jacarei FC
0 Goals Scored 0.75
0 Goals Conceded 1.13
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Atletico Mogi
(Home) 22 Jun
Atletico Mogi
0 : 1 ECUS SP
15 Jun
Mauaense
4 : 0 Atletico Mogi
08 Jun
Atletico Mogi
3 : 5 Manthiqueira
01 Jun
Atletico Mogi
2 : 1 Uniao Mogi
25 May
Maua FC
1 : 0 Atletico Mogi
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22 Jun
Atletico Mogi
0 : 1 ECUS SP
08 Jun
Atletico Mogi
3 : 5 Manthiqueira
01 Jun
Atletico Mogi
2 : 1 Uniao Mogi
11 May
Atletico Mogi
0 : 0 Mauaense
20 Apr
Atletico Mogi
2 : 2 Maua FC
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Jacarei FC
(Away) 18 Apr
Sao Caetano
1 : 0 Jacarei FC
11 Apr
Jacarei FC
0 : 0 Sao Caetano
04 Apr
Jacarei FC
0 : 0 ECUS SP
28 Mar
Vocem
0 : 1 Jacarei FC
25 Mar
Jacarei FC
0 : 1 Sao-Carlense
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18 Apr
Sao Caetano
1 : 0 Jacarei FC
28 Mar
Vocem
0 : 1 Jacarei FC
18 Mar
Lemense
0 : 0 Jacarei FC
07 Mar
Tanabi
0 : 0 Jacarei FC
28 Feb
Taquaritinga
0 : 1 Jacarei FC
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League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Fernandopolis | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 20:8 | 25 |
| 2 | Andradina Esporte Clube | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 16:9 | 24 |
| 3 | Jose Bonifacio EC | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 12:15 | 17 |
| 4 | Tupa | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 15:16 | 17 |
| 5 | Osvaldo Cruz | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 12:11 | 15 |
| 6 | Bandeirante | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 9:17 | 11 |
| 7 | America SP | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 7:15 | 8 |
Promotion - Paulista A4 2019 (Second stage)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Francana | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 29:13 | 24 |
| 2 | Catanduva FC | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 19:13 | 20 |
| 3 | Matonense | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 20:14 | 18 |
| 4 | Catanduvense | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 14:14 | 17 |
| 5 | Inter de Bebedouro | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 17:14 | 17 |
| 6 | Taquaritinga | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 17:19 | 15 |
| 7 | Sao-Carlense | 12 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 7:36 | 4 |
Promotion - Paulista A4 2019 (Second stage)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rio Branco SP | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 15:8 | 24 |
| 2 | XV de Jau | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 22:9 | 24 |
| 3 | Itapirense | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 17:13 | 21 |
| 4 | Independente SP | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 21:11 | 19 |
| 5 | Uniao Barbarense | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 18:23 | 14 |
| 6 | Jaguariuna | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 14:23 | 9 |
| 7 | Brasilis | 12 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 5:25 | 6 |
Promotion - Paulista A4 2019 (Second stage)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Marilia | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 21:7 | 21 |
| 2 | AA Itarare | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 16:3 | 19 |
| 3 | Assisense | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 11:6 | 16 |
| 4 | Vocem | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 9:7 | 13 |
| 5 | Santacruzense | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 14:14 | 11 |
| 6 | Elosport | 10 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 3:37 | 0 |
Promotion - Paulista A4 2019 (Second stage)
League Standings (Group 5)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Paulista | 12 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 31:10 | 29 |
| 2 | Sao Jose EC | 12 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 22:13 | 23 |
| 3 | Amparo SP | 12 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 31:14 | 21 |
| 4 | Jacarei FC | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 22:14 | 17 |
| 5 | Uniao Mogi | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 18:23 | 14 |
| 6 | Manthiqueira | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 7:20 | 9 |
| 7 | Atletico Mogi | 12 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 8:45 | 1 |
Promotion - Paulista A4 2019 (Second stage)
League Standings (Group 6)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Flamengo SP | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 20:12 | 23 |
| 2 | Uniao Suzano | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 20:16 | 22 |
| 3 | Guarulhos | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 15:8 | 21 |
| 4 | Mauaense | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 16:8 | 20 |
| 5 | Maua FC | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 10:13 | 16 |
| 6 | Barcelona SP | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 11:18 | 10 |
| 7 | Jabaquara | 12 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 8:25 | 2 |
Promotion - Paulista A4 2019 (Second stage)
