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Atletico Mogi vs Manthiqueira

Brazil Brazil

Paulista A4 2022
Atletico Mogi Logo

Atletico Mogi

0 - 6
FT
Manthiqueira Logo

Manthiqueira

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Manthiqueira in this Paulista A4 2022 matchup, with the score ending 0-6 — backing the pre-match view that favored Manthiqueira.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Atletico Mogi
15%
Draws
57%
Manthiqueira
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Manthiqueira

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Atletico Mogi haven't matched Manthiqueira's recent run of results.
  • Manthiqueira are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Manthiqueira here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Atletico Mogi Clean Sheet 20%
Manthiqueira Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atletico Mogi Manthiqueira
Matches Played 30 35
Wins 4 14
Draws 5 4
Losses 21 17
Goals Scored 0.7 1.6
Goals Conceded 2.77 1.89
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 0.99
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 8, 2024 Paulista B
Atletico Mogi vs Manthiqueira
3:5
May 4, 2024 Paulista B
Manthiqueira vs Atletico Mogi
1:0
Jun 10, 2023 Paulista A4
Manthiqueira vs Atletico Mogi
2:3
May 6, 2023 Paulista A4
Atletico Mogi vs Manthiqueira
0:2
Jun 18, 2022 Paulista A4
Atletico Mogi vs Manthiqueira
0:6

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atletico Mogi 16 / 100
Manthiqueira 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atletico Mogi Manthiqueira

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Manthiqueira Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Manthiqueira's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 35 matches.

Games between these two average 4.40 goals.

Manthiqueira's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Atletico Mogi's goal record stands at 43% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Manthiqueira
0 Goals Scored 0.88
0 Goals Conceded 1.63
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Atletico Mogi

(Home)
22 Jun
Atletico Mogi
0 : 1
ECUS SP
15 Jun
Mauaense
4 : 0
Atletico Mogi
08 Jun
Atletico Mogi
3 : 5
Manthiqueira
01 Jun
Atletico Mogi
2 : 1
Uniao Mogi
25 May
Maua FC
1 : 0
Atletico Mogi
Page 1 of 6

Manthiqueira

(Away)
05 Jul
Jose Bonifacio EC
2 : 1
Manthiqueira
27 Jun
Manthiqueira
0 : 2
Jose Bonifacio EC
20 Jun
Manthiqueira
2 : 1
Mauaense
14 Jun
Barcelona SP
1 : 5
Manthiqueira
06 Jun
Manthiqueira
0 : 2
Itaqua
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Penapolense 10 6 3 1 23:6 21
2 Inter de Bebedouro 10 6 3 1 18:6 21
3 Catanduva FC 10 6 2 2 25:11 20
4 Fernandopolis 10 2 2 6 11:22 8
5 America SP 10 2 2 6 14:24 8
6 Andradina Esporte Clube 10 2 0 8 12:34 6
Promotion - Paulista A4 2022 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gremio Prudente 10 7 3 0 17:4 24
2 AA Itarare 10 3 6 1 13:8 15
3 Osvaldo Cruz 10 3 5 2 12:10 14
4 Vocem 10 3 4 3 8:12 13
5 Assisense 10 2 5 3 9:10 11
6 Santacruzense 10 0 1 9 4:19 1
Promotion - Paulista A4 2022 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Taquaritinga 10 7 0 3 17:8 21
2 Sao-Carlense 10 6 2 2 17:5 20
3 XV de Jau 10 5 3 2 16:7 18
4 Francana 10 3 4 3 8:8 13
5 Sao Carlos 10 2 4 4 6:14 10
6 Batatais 10 0 1 9 7:29 1
Promotion - Paulista A4 2022 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Itapirense 10 7 2 1 20:10 23
2 Rio Branco SP 10 6 1 3 15:10 19
3 Paulista 10 5 3 2 15:8 18
4 Amparo SP 10 3 3 4 15:12 12
5 Independente SP 10 3 2 5 8:9 11
6 Uniao Sao Joao 10 0 1 9 3:27 1
Promotion - Paulista A4 2022 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Manthiqueira 10 6 2 2 26:12 20
2 Jacarei FC 10 6 1 3 25:6 19
3 Flamengo SP 10 5 4 1 18:11 19
4 Uniao Mogi 10 4 2 4 25:12 14
5 Guarulhos 10 2 4 4 11:18 10
6 Atletico Mogi 10 0 1 9 5:51 1
Promotion - Paulista A4 2022 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Maua FC 10 5 3 2 12:9 18
2 SKA Brasil 10 5 2 3 19:8 17
3 Colorado Caieiras 10 4 5 1 16:10 17
4 Jabaquara 10 4 3 3 10:10 15
5 Mauaense 10 2 4 4 11:16 10
6 ECUS SP 10 1 1 8 12:27 4
Promotion - Paulista A4 2022 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams