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Atletico Monzon vs Brea

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 17 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

85' Event
Ouakkati Y.

AI Match Summary

Atletico Monzon in this Tercera RFEF - Group 17 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Atletico Monzon.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Atletico Monzon
35%
Draws
37%
Brea
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Brea

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Atletico Monzon lately — more wins on the board than Brea.
  • Brea are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Atletico Monzon Clean Sheet 20%
Brea Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atletico Monzon Brea
Matches Played 35 29
Wins 25 10
Draws 3 8
Losses 7 11
Goals Scored 2.11 0.9
Goals Conceded 1.11 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 9, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Atletico Monzon vs Brea
1:0
Oct 26, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Brea vs Atletico Monzon
0:4
Mar 15, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Atletico Monzon vs Brea
0:0
Oct 27, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Brea vs Atletico Monzon
3:0
Feb 3, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Brea vs Atletico Monzon
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Atletico Monzon Compare

Top Goalscorer Ouakkati Y.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Brea Compare

Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atletico Monzon 20 / 100
Brea 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atletico Monzon Brea

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Brea Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Atletico Monzon's goal record stands at 86% scoring rate across 35 recent games.

Brea has conceded goals in 62% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 1.60 goals as a typical output.

Atletico Monzon went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Atletico Monzon VS Brea
2.5 Goals Scored 1.25
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.5
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Atletico Monzon

(Home)
20 Sept
Atletico Monzon
0 : 0
Fraga
13 Sept
Atletico Monzon
4 : 3
Robres
06 Sept
CD Caspe
3 : 0
Atletico Monzon
07 Jun
CD Cuarte
0 : 1
Atletico Monzon
30 May
Atletico Monzon
0 : 2
CD Cuarte
Page 1 of 7

Brea

(Away)
20 Sept
CD Sietamo
1 : 1
Brea
12 Sept
Brea
3 : 0
CF Illueca
06 Sept
CD Belchite 97
1 : 1
Brea
11 May
Brea
0 : 0
CD Caspe
04 May
Ebro
1 : 2
Brea
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ebro 34 19 8 7 49:20 65
2 Huesca B 34 17 7 10 49:36 58
3 CD Cuarte 34 15 12 7 38:25 57
4 Atletico Monzon 34 16 9 9 52:35 57
5 Binefar 34 14 14 6 44:27 56
6 Zuera 34 13 10 11 38:29 49
7 Calamocha 34 11 14 9 41:37 47
8 Epila 34 12 11 11 31:30 47
9 Tamarite 34 12 10 12 41:43 46
10 Utrillas 34 10 11 13 29:39 41
11 CD Caspe 34 10 11 13 27:31 41
12 Andorra CF 34 8 16 10 34:38 40
13 Almudevar 34 9 12 13 30:36 39
14 CD Belchite 97 34 9 12 13 35:34 39
15 La Almunia 34 11 6 17 33:45 39
16 Fraga 34 9 10 15 38:53 37
17 Brea 34 9 8 17 26:43 35
18 Fuentes 34 9 5 20 20:54 32
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 17 2024/2025 (Play Offs)