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Atletico Nacional vs San Francisco

Panama Panama

LPF 2025 Estadio San Cristóbal
Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Benitez G.
34'
Sub
Espinosa N. In: Barrera J.
Out: Espinosa N.
37'
Rodriguez A.

AI Match Summary

The LPF 2025 game between Atletico Nacional and San Francisco finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward San Francisco.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Atletico Nacional
39%
Draws
30%
San Francisco
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • San Francisco has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Atletico Nacional.
  • Model projects a tightly contested fixture with a 39% draw probability.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in LPF 2025 provide steady trend data.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%
Atletico Nacional Clean Sheet 13%
San Francisco Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atletico Nacional San Francisco
Matches Played 30 37
Wins 6 13
Draws 8 15
Losses 16 9
Goals Scored 0 1.38
Goals Conceded 2 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 12, 2025 LPF
San Francisco vs Atletico Nacional
2:2
Jul 20, 2025 LPF
Atletico Nacional vs San Francisco
1:3
Apr 13, 2017 LPF
San Francisco vs Atletico Nacional
3:2
Feb 11, 2017 LPF
Atletico Nacional vs San Francisco
0:1
Oct 1, 2016 LPF
San Francisco vs Atletico Nacional
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Atletico Nacional Compare

Top Goalscorer Diaz S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

San Francisco Compare

Top Goalscorer Benitez G.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Edmund D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atletico Nacional 31 / 100
San Francisco 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atletico Nacional San Francisco

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FRA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Atletico Nacional scored in 57% of their last 30 games.

San Francisco let in goals in 68% of their last 37 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Atletico Nacional went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

San Francisco lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Atletico Nacional VS San Francisco
0 Goals Scored 1.38
2 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Plaza Amador16113237:1736
2Alianza1684425:1928
3Sporting San Miguelito1667317:1225
4Arabe Unido1666418:1324
5UMECIT1665516:1823
6Tauro1634917:2813
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1San Francisco1667321:1625
2Independiente1665522:1723
3Union Deportivo Universitario1647514:1719
4Veraguas1653819:2318
5Atletico Nacional1645722:3117
6Herrera16141110:277