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Atletico Ottawa vs HFX Wanderers - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Canada Canada

Canadian Premier League TD Place Stadium, Ottawa, ON
Atletico Ottawa Logo

Atletico Ottawa

2 - 1
FT
HFX Wanderers Logo

HFX Wanderers

Our Tip

Match Events

35'
Alphonse J.
39' Event
Arilla M.
Assist: Callegari L.
53'
Zitman S.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Atletico Ottawa in this Canadian Premier League matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Atletico Ottawa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Atletico Ottawa
20%
Draws
40%
HFX Wanderers
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Atletico Ottawa have won more games recently than HFX Wanderers.
  • HFX Wanderers are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Regular Canadian Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Atletico Ottawa have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Atletico Ottawa Clean Sheet 13%
HFX Wanderers Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atletico Ottawa HFX Wanderers
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 13 7
Draws 5 7
Losses 10 14
Goals Scored 1.61 1.43
Goals Conceded 1.71 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 26, 2026 Canadian Premier League
HFX Wanderers vs Atletico Ottawa
0:1
Aug 8, 2026 Canadian Premier League
Atletico Ottawa vs HFX Wanderers
2:1
Jul 1, 2026 Canadian Premier League
HFX Wanderers vs Atletico Ottawa
1:3
May 17, 2026 Canadian Premier League
Atletico Ottawa vs HFX Wanderers
1:0
Oct 18, 2025 Canadian Premier League
HFX Wanderers vs Atletico Ottawa
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Atletico Ottawa Compare

Top Goalscorer Garcia E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Tabla B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

HFX Wanderers Compare

Top Goalscorer Arilla M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atletico Ottawa 19 / 100
HFX Wanderers 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atletico Ottawa HFX Wanderers

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick HFX Wanderers Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Atletico Ottawa scored in 82% of their last 28 games.

HFX Wanderers has conceded goals in 79% of their last 28 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Atletico Ottawa went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Atletico Ottawa VS HFX Wanderers
1.25 Goals Scored 2.13
1.25 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Atletico Ottawa

(Home)
30 Sept
Atletico Ottawa
3 : 2
Cavalry
26 Sept
HFX Wanderers
0 : 1
Atletico Ottawa
20 Sept
Atletico Ottawa
0 : 2
Supra du Quebec
12 Sept
Forge FC
3 : 0
Atletico Ottawa
05 Sept
Atletico Ottawa
0 : 0
Pacific FC
Page 1 of 6

HFX Wanderers

(Away)
03 Oct
Forge FC
3 : 3
HFX Wanderers
26 Sept
HFX Wanderers
0 : 1
Atletico Ottawa
20 Sept
HFX Wanderers
4 : 1
Inter Toronto
12 Sept
Supra du Quebec
0 : 2
HFX Wanderers
07 Sept
HFX Wanderers
1 : 3
Cavalry
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cavalry 25 16 5 4 51:19 53
2 Forge FC 25 15 6 4 41:20 51
3 Atletico Ottawa 25 12 4 9 38:41 40
4 Vancouver FC 25 9 6 10 35:33 33
5 Supra du Quebec 25 9 4 12 38:45 31
6 HFX Wanderers 25 7 6 12 38:42 27
7 Inter Toronto 25 6 9 10 40:56 27
8 Pacific FC 25 2 8 15 30:55 14
Promotion - Canadian Premier League (Play Offs)