Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Atletico Ottawa vs Nashville SC

North & Central America North & Central America

CONCACAF Champions Cup Tim Hortons Field, Hamilton, ON
Our Tip

Match Events

57'
Sub
Coulanges J. In: Garcia E.
Out: Coulanges J.
63'
Sub
Qasem A. In: Espinoza C.
Out: Qasem A.
64'
Sub
Knight J. In: Najar A.
Out: Knight J.

AI Match Summary

Nashville SC in this CONCACAF Champions Cup tie, finishing 0-2. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Atletico Ottawa
22%
Draws
60%
Nashville SC
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Nashville SC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Atletico Ottawa haven't matched Nashville SC's recent run of results.
  • 60% — that's where the model lands on Nashville SC taking it.
  • Nashville SC arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Nashville SC, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Atletico Ottawa Clean Sheet 16%
Nashville SC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atletico Ottawa Nashville SC
Matches Played 29 27
Wins 13 16
Draws 8 7
Losses 8 4
Goals Scored 2.13 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.63 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 25, 2026 CONCACAF Champions Cup
Nashville SC vs Atletico Ottawa
5:0
Feb 18, 2026 CONCACAF Champions Cup
Atletico Ottawa vs Nashville SC
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Atletico Ottawa Compare

Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Nashville SC Compare

Top Goalscorer Pacius W.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Surridge S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atletico Ottawa 19 / 100
Nashville SC 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atletico Ottawa Nashville SC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NAS Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Atletico Ottawa's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Atletico Ottawa has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Defensive concern: Nashville SC conceded in 52% of 27 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Atletico Ottawa VS Nashville SC
2.13 Goals Scored 1.38
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.75
88% Over 1.5 50%
88% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Atletico Ottawa

(Home)
17 Jul
Atletico Ottawa
1 : 1
Inter Toronto
08 Jul
Supra du Quebec
3 : 1
Atletico Ottawa
04 Jul
Atletico Ottawa
0 : 3
Cavalry
01 Jul
HFX Wanderers
1 : 3
Atletico Ottawa
09 Jun
Atletico Ottawa
5 : 3
Supra du Quebec
Page 1 of 6

Nashville SC

(Away)
18 Jul
Nashville SC
1 : 0
Atlanta United
24 May
Nashville SC
2 : 1
New York City
18 May
Nashville SC
3 : 2
Los Angeles FC
13 May
New England Revolution
0 : 3
Nashville SC
10 May
Nashville SC
2 : 2
DC United
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Toluca-
TBD-
UNAM Pumas2
San Diego FC4
Mount Pleasant-
TBD-
Los Angeles Galaxy1
Sporting San Miguelito1
Cruz Azul8
Vancouver FC0
Monterrey3
Xelaju1
Alajuelense-
TBD-
Los Angeles FC7
Real Espana1
Inter Miami-
TBD-
Nashville SC7
Atletico Ottawa0
Club America2
Olimpia1
Philadelphia Union12
Defence Force0
Tigres UANL4
Forge FC1
FC Cincinnati13
Universidad O&M0
Seattle Sounders-
TBD-
Vancouver Whitecaps2
Cartagines0
1/8-finals
Toluca6
San Diego FC3
Mount Pleasant0
Los Angeles Galaxy6
Cruz Azul4
Monterrey3
Alajuelense2
Los Angeles FC3
Inter Miami1
Nashville SC1
Club America2
Philadelphia Union1
Tigres UANL5
FC Cincinnati4
Seattle Sounders5
Vancouver Whitecaps1
Quarter-finals
Toluca7
Los Angeles Galaxy2
Cruz Azul1
Los Angeles FC4
Nashville SC1
Club America0
Tigres UANL3
Seattle Sounders3
Semi-finals
Toluca5
Los Angeles FC2
Nashville SC0
Tigres UANL2
Final
Toluca2
Tigres UANL1