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Atletico Ottawa vs Pacific FC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Canada Canada

Canadian Premier League TD Place Stadium, Ottawa, ON
Our Tip

Match Events

38'
Timoteo W.
45'
Cloutier L.
45' Event
Garcia E.

AI Match Summary

Atletico Ottawa in this Canadian Premier League matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Atletico Ottawa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Atletico Ottawa
20%
Draws
29%
Pacific FC
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Atletico Ottawa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Atletico Ottawa lately — more wins on the board than Pacific FC.
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on Atletico Ottawa taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Atletico Ottawa Clean Sheet 17%
Pacific FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atletico Ottawa Pacific FC
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 13 2
Draws 5 9
Losses 10 17
Goals Scored 1.61 1.21
Goals Conceded 1.71 2.29
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 Canadian Premier League
Atletico Ottawa vs Pacific FC
0:0
Jul 26, 2026 Canadian Premier League
Atletico Ottawa vs Pacific FC
3:2
May 30, 2026 Canadian Premier League
Pacific FC vs Atletico Ottawa
2:2
Sep 6, 2025 Canadian Premier League
Atletico Ottawa vs Pacific FC
2:0
Jul 27, 2025 Canadian Premier League
Pacific FC vs Atletico Ottawa
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Atletico Ottawa Compare

Top Goalscorer Garcia E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Tabla B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Pacific FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Bustos M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atletico Ottawa 57 / 100
Pacific FC 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atletico Ottawa Pacific FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Atletico Ottawa Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Atletico Ottawa found the back of the net in 82% of recent matches (28 games).

Defensive concern: Pacific FC conceded in 96% of 28 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Solid form: Atletico Ottawa remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Atletico Ottawa VS Pacific FC
1.25 Goals Scored 1.5
1.25 Goals Conceded 2.25
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Atletico Ottawa

(Home)
30 Sept
Atletico Ottawa
3 : 2
Cavalry
26 Sept
HFX Wanderers
0 : 1
Atletico Ottawa
20 Sept
Atletico Ottawa
0 : 2
Supra du Quebec
12 Sept
Forge FC
3 : 0
Atletico Ottawa
05 Sept
Atletico Ottawa
0 : 0
Pacific FC
Page 1 of 6

Pacific FC

(Away)
07 Oct
Forge FC
3 : 0
Pacific FC
04 Oct
Supra du Quebec
5 : 0
Pacific FC
27 Sept
Inter Toronto
3 : 4
Pacific FC
20 Sept
Pacific FC
1 : 1
Vancouver FC
13 Sept
Pacific FC
0 : 1
Cavalry
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cavalry 25 16 5 4 51:19 53
2 Forge FC 25 15 6 4 41:20 51
3 Atletico Ottawa 25 12 4 9 38:41 40
4 Vancouver FC 26 9 7 10 37:35 34
5 Supra du Quebec 26 9 5 12 40:47 32
6 HFX Wanderers 25 7 6 12 38:42 27
7 Inter Toronto 25 6 9 10 40:56 27
8 Pacific FC 25 2 8 15 30:55 14
Promotion - Canadian Premier League (Play Offs)