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Atletico Ottawa vs Supra du Quebec - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Canada Canada

Canadian Premier League TD Place Stadium, Ottawa, ON
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Match Events

11'
Tabla B.
48'
Biello A.
56' Event
Rea S.

AI Match Summary

Supra du Quebec in this Canadian Premier League matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Supra du Quebec.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Atletico Ottawa
15%
Draws
48%
Supra du Quebec
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Supra du Quebec

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Atletico Ottawa lately — more wins on the board than Supra du Quebec.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Regular Canadian Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Atletico Ottawa Clean Sheet 19%
Supra du Quebec Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atletico Ottawa Supra du Quebec
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 14 10
Draws 5 6
Losses 11 13
Goals Scored 1.53 1.55
Goals Conceded 1.77 1.72
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2026 Canadian Premier League
Atletico Ottawa vs Supra du Quebec
0:2
Aug 16, 2026 Canadian Premier League
Supra du Quebec vs Atletico Ottawa
1:2
Aug 11, 2026 Championship
Atletico Ottawa vs Supra du Quebec
3:3
Jul 8, 2026 Championship
Supra du Quebec vs Atletico Ottawa
3:1
Jun 9, 2026 Canadian Premier League
Atletico Ottawa vs Supra du Quebec
5:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Atletico Ottawa Compare

Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Supra du Quebec Compare

Top Goalscorer Rea S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kwemi L. A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atletico Ottawa 32 / 100
Supra du Quebec 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atletico Ottawa Supra du Quebec

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Atletico Ottawa scored in 80% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: Supra du Quebec conceded in 90% of 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 4.60 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Atletico Ottawa remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Atletico Ottawa VS Supra du Quebec
0.88 Goals Scored 1.13
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Atletico Ottawa

(Home)
30 Sept
Atletico Ottawa
3 : 2
Cavalry
26 Sept
HFX Wanderers
0 : 1
Atletico Ottawa
20 Sept
Atletico Ottawa
0 : 2
Supra du Quebec
12 Sept
Forge FC
3 : 0
Atletico Ottawa
05 Sept
Atletico Ottawa
0 : 0
Pacific FC
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Supra du Quebec

(Away)
07 Oct
Inter Toronto
1 : 2
Supra du Quebec
04 Oct
Supra du Quebec
5 : 0
Pacific FC
26 Sept
Cavalry
6 : 0
Supra du Quebec
20 Sept
Atletico Ottawa
0 : 2
Supra du Quebec
15 Sept
Forge FC
1 : 0
Supra du Quebec
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cavalry 25 16 5 4 51:19 53
2 Forge FC 25 15 6 4 41:20 51
3 Atletico Ottawa 25 12 4 9 38:41 40
4 Vancouver FC 25 9 6 10 35:33 33
5 Supra du Quebec 25 9 4 12 38:45 31
6 HFX Wanderers 25 7 6 12 38:42 27
7 Inter Toronto 25 6 9 10 40:56 27
8 Pacific FC 25 2 8 15 30:55 14
Promotion - Canadian Premier League (Play Offs)