Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Atletico Ottawa vs Supra du Quebec - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Canada Canada

Championship TD Place Stadium, Ottawa, ON
Atletico Ottawa Logo

Atletico Ottawa

3 - 3
FT
Supra du Quebec Logo

Supra du Quebec

Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Kwemi L. A.
Assist: Choiniere D.
15' Event
Conde I.
Assist: Abzi D.
32'
Choiniere D.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 3-3. This leg finished 3-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Atletico Ottawa
15%
Draws
48%
Supra du Quebec
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Supra du Quebec

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Atletico Ottawa lately — more wins on the board than Supra du Quebec.
  • Win probability leans Supra du Quebec's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Atletico Ottawa have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Supra du Quebec, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Atletico Ottawa Clean Sheet 19%
Supra du Quebec Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atletico Ottawa Supra du Quebec
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 14 10
Draws 5 6
Losses 11 13
Goals Scored 1.53 1.55
Goals Conceded 1.77 1.72
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2026 Canadian Premier League
Atletico Ottawa vs Supra du Quebec
0:2
Aug 16, 2026 Canadian Premier League
Supra du Quebec vs Atletico Ottawa
1:2
Aug 11, 2026 Championship
Atletico Ottawa vs Supra du Quebec
3:3
Jul 8, 2026 Championship
Supra du Quebec vs Atletico Ottawa
3:1
Jun 9, 2026 Canadian Premier League
Atletico Ottawa vs Supra du Quebec
5:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Atletico Ottawa Compare

Top Goalscorer Fleuriau Chateau N.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Tabla B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Supra du Quebec Compare

Top Goalscorer Kwemi L. A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Conde I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atletico Ottawa 28 / 100
Supra du Quebec 39 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atletico Ottawa Supra du Quebec

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Supra du Quebec Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Atletico Ottawa scored in 80% of their last 30 games.

Supra du Quebec has conceded goals in 90% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 4.60 goals.

Solid form: Atletico Ottawa remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Atletico Ottawa VS Supra du Quebec
0.88 Goals Scored 1.13
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Atletico Ottawa

(Home)
30 Sept
Atletico Ottawa
3 : 2
Cavalry
26 Sept
HFX Wanderers
0 : 1
Atletico Ottawa
20 Sept
Atletico Ottawa
0 : 2
Supra du Quebec
12 Sept
Forge FC
3 : 0
Atletico Ottawa
05 Sept
Atletico Ottawa
0 : 0
Pacific FC
Page 1 of 6

Supra du Quebec

(Away)
07 Oct
Inter Toronto
1 : 2
Supra du Quebec
04 Oct
Supra du Quebec
5 : 0
Pacific FC
26 Sept
Cavalry
6 : 0
Supra du Quebec
20 Sept
Atletico Ottawa
0 : 2
Supra du Quebec
15 Sept
Forge FC
1 : 0
Supra du Quebec
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Vancouver Whitecaps -
TBD -
Pacific FC 1
Cavalry 3
CF Montreal 5
Calgary Blizzard SC 0
Vancouver FC 2
Langley United SA 0
Forge FC 4
HFX Wanderers 0
Inter Toronto 0
CS Saint-Laurent 1
Toronto FC 1
Atletico Ottawa 3
Supra du Quebec 3
Woodbridge Strikers 1
Quarter-finals
Vancouver Whitecaps 5
Cavalry 2
CF Montreal 4
Vancouver FC 2
Forge FC 3
CS Saint-Laurent 2
Atletico Ottawa 4
Supra du Quebec 6
Semi-finals
Vancouver Whitecaps 2
CF Montreal 3
Forge FC 2
Supra du Quebec 1
Final
CF Montreal -
Forge FC -