Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Atletico Ottawa vs Supra du Quebec

Canada Canada

Championship TD Place Stadium
Tue, Aug 11, 2026
VS
11:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Atletico Ottawa host Supra du Quebec in the Championship. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Supra du Quebec have shipped 1.63 goals a game lately, while Atletico Ottawa have conceded 1.63 and scored 2.13. Head-to-head, Atletico Ottawa have won 2 to Supra du Quebec's 1, with 0 draws. They last met on Jul 8, 2026, ending 3:1. xG projections (1.88 - 1.56) back Atletico Ottawa to edge this. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Atletico Ottawa
22%
Draws
18%
Supra du Quebec
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Atletico Ottawa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Atletico Ottawa lately — more wins on the board than Supra du Quebec.
  • Win probability leans Atletico Ottawa's way, sitting at 60%.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Championship fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Atletico Ottawa here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Atletico Ottawa Clean Sheet 15%
Supra du Quebec Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atletico Ottawa Supra du Quebec
Matches Played 30 13
Wins 13 5
Draws 9 2
Losses 8 6
Goals Scored 2.13 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 8, 2026 Championship
Supra du Quebec vs Atletico Ottawa
3:1
Jun 9, 2026 Canadian Premier League
Atletico Ottawa vs Supra du Quebec
5:3
Apr 19, 2026 Canadian Premier League
Supra du Quebec vs Atletico Ottawa
0:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atletico Ottawa 57 / 100
Supra du Quebec 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atletico Ottawa Supra du Quebec

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ATL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Atletico Ottawa scored in 80% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: Supra du Quebec conceded in 100% of 13 recent games.

Historical meetings average 4.33 goals per match.

Atletico Ottawa went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Atletico Ottawa VS Supra du Quebec
2.13 Goals Scored 1.5
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Vancouver Whitecaps-
TBD-
Pacific FC1
Cavalry3
CF Montreal5
Calgary Blizzard SC0
Vancouver FC2
Langley United SA0
Forge FC4
HFX Wanderers0
Inter Toronto0
CS Saint-Laurent1
Toronto FC1
Atletico Ottawa3
Supra du Quebec3
Woodbridge Strikers1
Quarter-finals
Vancouver Whitecaps5
Cavalry2
CF Montreal4
Vancouver FC2
Forge FC3
CS Saint-Laurent2
Atletico Ottawa1
Supra du Quebec3
Semi-finals
Vancouver Whitecaps-
CF Montreal-
Forge FC-
TBD-
Final
TBD-
TBD-