Sport Picks
Atletico Ottawa vs Vancouver FC
Canada
Championship 2025 TD Place Stadium, Ottawa, ON 
Match Events
24'
24'
Coulanges J.
29'
29'
Michel
36'
36'
Sub
Coulanges J. In: Santos K.
Out: Coulanges J.
AI Match Summary
Atletico Ottawa in this Championship 2025 tie, finishing 1-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
22%
28%
50%
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Vancouver FC
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
76%
/ High Confidence
- Atletico Ottawa have won more games recently than Vancouver FC.
- Win probability leans Vancouver FC's way, sitting at 50%.
- Atletico Ottawa have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Atletico Ottawa, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Atletico Ottawa Clean Sheet 13%
Vancouver FC Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Atletico Ottawa | Vancouver FC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 14 | 9 |
| Draws | 8 | 6 |
| Losses | 8 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 1.88 | 1.5 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.88 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.88 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.88 | 1.38 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jun 6, 2026 Canadian Premier League
Vancouver FC vs Atletico Ottawa
2:1
Apr 26, 2026 Canadian Premier League
Atletico Ottawa vs Vancouver FC
1:1
Oct 12, 2025 Canadian Premier League
Atletico Ottawa vs Vancouver FC
0:0
Sep 18, 2025 Championship
Atletico Ottawa vs Vancouver FC
1:0
Aug 30, 2025 Canadian Premier League
Atletico Ottawa vs Vancouver FC
3:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Atletico Ottawa Compare
Top Goalscorer Rodriguez D.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94
Vancouver FC Compare
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Atletico Ottawa 22 / 100
Vancouver FC 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Atletico Ottawa Vancouver FC
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick VAN Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Atletico Ottawa scored in 83% of their last 30 games.
Vancouver FC has conceded goals in 90% of their last 30 outings.
Games between these two average 2.00 goals.
Atletico Ottawa went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Atletico Ottawa VS Vancouver FC
1.88 Goals Scored 1.5
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Atletico Ottawa
(Home) 17 Jul
Atletico Ottawa
1 : 1 Inter Toronto
08 Jul
Supra du Quebec
3 : 1 Atletico Ottawa
04 Jul
Atletico Ottawa
0 : 3 Cavalry
01 Jul
HFX Wanderers
1 : 3 Atletico Ottawa
09 Jun
Atletico Ottawa
5 : 3 Supra du Quebec
Page 1 of 6
17 Jul
Atletico Ottawa
1 : 1 Inter Toronto
04 Jul
Atletico Ottawa
0 : 3 Cavalry
09 Jun
Atletico Ottawa
5 : 3 Supra du Quebec
24 May
Atletico Ottawa
2 : 1 Forge FC
17 May
Atletico Ottawa
1 : 0 HFX Wanderers
Page 1 of 3
Vancouver FC
(Away) 17 Jul
Supra du Quebec
1 : 5 Vancouver FC
12 Jul
CF Montreal
2 : 1 Vancouver FC
09 Jul
Vancouver FC
1 : 2 CF Montreal
04 Jul
Vancouver FC
4 : 0 Inter Toronto
01 Jul
Forge FC
3 : 2 Vancouver FC
Page 1 of 6
17 Jul
Supra du Quebec
1 : 5 Vancouver FC
12 Jul
CF Montreal
2 : 1 Vancouver FC
01 Jul
Forge FC
3 : 2 Vancouver FC
30 May
HFX Wanderers
1 : 0 Vancouver FC
03 May
Pacific FC
1 : 3 Vancouver FC
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/8-finals
Toronto FC2
CF Montreal3
Forge FC3
HFX Wanderers1
Vancouver Whitecaps-
TBD-
Valour1
TSS Rovers0
Cavalry6
Edmonton Scottish0
Pacific FC1
Vancouver FC2
Inter Toronto5
FC Laval0
Atletico Ottawa2
Scrosoppi0
Quarter-finals
CF Montreal2
Forge FC3
Vancouver Whitecaps4
Valour3
Cavalry2
Vancouver FC3
Inter Toronto4
Atletico Ottawa6
Semi-finals
Forge FC2
Vancouver Whitecaps6
Vancouver FC3
Atletico Ottawa2
Final
Vancouver Whitecaps4
Vancouver FC2