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Atletico Ouriense vs Electrico FC

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato Nacional - Group F 2014/2015
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Atletico Ouriense in this Campeonato Nacional - Group F 2014/2015 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Atletico Ouriense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

13%
Atletico Ouriense
17%
Draws
70%
Electrico FC
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Electrico FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Electrico FC have won more games recently than Atletico Ouriense.
  • Electrico FC are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • Regular Campeonato Nacional - Group F 2014/2015 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Atletico Ouriense Clean Sheet 19%
Electrico FC Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atletico Ouriense Electrico FC
Matches Played 30 34
Wins 5 7
Draws 3 4
Losses 22 23
Goals Scored 0 1.38
Goals Conceded 0 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 11, 2015 Campeonato de Portugal - Group F
Atletico Ouriense vs Electrico FC
1:0
Feb 15, 2015 Campeonato de Portugal - Group F
Electrico FC vs Atletico Ouriense
0:1
Jan 18, 2015 Campeonato de Portugal - Group F
Atletico Ouriense vs Electrico FC
0:2
Nov 9, 2014 Campeonato de Portugal - Group F
Electrico FC vs Atletico Ouriense
3:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atletico Ouriense 16 / 100
Electrico FC 66 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atletico Ouriense Electrico FC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ELE Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Electrico FC let in goals in 82% of their last 34 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.75 goals when they meet.

Away concern: Electrico FC has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Atletico Ouriense scored in 57% of their last 30 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Electrico FC
0 Goals Scored 1.38
0 Goals Conceded 0.88
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Leiria1264226:1539
2Sertanense1264222:1138
3Alcanenense1262420:2232
4Torreense1227312:1227
5Electrico FC1232714:1826
6Fatima1244421:1525
7Atletico Ouriense1231815:3713