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Atletico Paraense vs Tesla

Brazil Brazil

Paraense A3 2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Atletico Paraense in this Paraense A3 2025 tie, finishing 7-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Atletico Paraense
30%
Draws
29%
Tesla
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Atletico Paraense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Atletico Paraense have won more games recently than Tesla.
  • 41% — that's where the model lands on Atletico Paraense taking it.
  • Atletico Paraense have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Atletico Paraense, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Atletico Paraense Clean Sheet 20%
Tesla Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atletico Paraense Tesla
Matches Played 13 15
Wins 10 4
Draws 1 3
Losses 2 8
Goals Scored 2.15 1.53
Goals Conceded 0.77 2.33
Expected Goals (xG) 2.94 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 8, 2025 Paraense A3
Atletico Paraense vs Tesla
7:0
Nov 3, 2025 Paraense A3
Tesla vs Atletico Paraense
1:5

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atletico Paraense 85 / 100
Tesla 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atletico Paraense Tesla

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Atletico Paraense Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Atletico Paraense scored in 85% of their last 13 games.

Tesla let in goals in 93% of their last 15 matches.

Games between these two average 6.50 goals.

Recent resilience: Atletico Paraense stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Atletico Paraense VS Tesla
3.13 Goals Scored 1.13
0.5 Goals Conceded 2.75
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Atletico Paraense

(Home)
23 May
Itupiranga
4 : 1
Atletico Paraense
16 May
Atletico Paraense
0 : 2
Carajas
02 May
Atletico Paraense
1 : 0
Itupiranga
25 Apr
Carajas
0 : 0
Atletico Paraense
25 Nov
Atletico Paraense
1 : 0
Santos PA
Page 1 of 3

Tesla

(Away)
23 Sept
Paraense SC
1 : 3
Tesla
20 Sept
Tesla
2 : 2
Pinheirense
13 Sept
Tesla
0 : 1
Paraense SC
11 Sept
Pinheirense
1 : 1
Tesla
08 Nov
Atletico Paraense
7 : 0
Tesla
Page 1 of 3

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Gaviao 2
Sport Belem 1
Tesla 1
Atletico Paraense 12
Paraense SC 3
Santos PA 4
Venus 2
Belenense 3
Semi-finals
Gaviao 2
Atletico Paraense 5
Santos PA 5
Belenense 4
Final
Atletico Paraense 1
Santos PA 0