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Atletico Paso vs Las Palmas C

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Tercera RFEF - Group 12 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Perez D.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 12 2025/2026 game between Atletico Paso and Las Palmas C finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Atletico Paso.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

15%
Atletico Paso
20%
Draws
65%
Las Palmas C
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Las Palmas C

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Las Palmas C come out ahead of Atletico Paso on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Las Palmas C's way, sitting at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Atletico Paso Clean Sheet 20%
Las Palmas C Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atletico Paso Las Palmas C
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 15
Draws 13 7
Losses 4 7
Goals Scored 1.31 1.69
Goals Conceded 0.62 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 0.56 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Atletico Paso vs Las Palmas C
1:0
Jan 3, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Las Palmas C vs Atletico Paso
1:3
Mar 6, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Atletico Paso vs Las Palmas C
1:0
Oct 23, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Las Palmas C vs Atletico Paso
2:2
May 29, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Las Palmas C vs Atletico Paso
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Atletico Paso Compare

Top Goalscorer Perez D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.43
Avg xA / game 0.28

Las Palmas C Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atletico Paso 20 / 100
Las Palmas C 58 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atletico Paso Las Palmas C

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Las Palmas C Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Atletico Paso scored in 72% of their last 29 games.

Defensive concern: Las Palmas C conceded in 72% of 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Atletico Paso went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Atletico Paso VS Las Palmas C
0.63 Goals Scored 1.13
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.5
63% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Atletico Paso

(Home)
19 Sept
Atletico Paso
0 : 1
Atl. Madrid C
13 Sept
Puertollano C.F.
0 : 0
Atletico Paso
06 Sept
Atletico Paso
0 : 2
Numancia
07 Aug
Algeciras
1 : 0
Atletico Paso
10 May
Herbania
1 : 1
Atletico Paso
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Las Palmas C

(Away)
19 Sept
Las Palmas C
4 : 2
Union Sur Yaiza
12 Sept
UD Playas de Sotavento
0 : 2
Las Palmas C
10 May
Las Palmas C
0 : 1
San Miguel
03 May
Atletico Paso
1 : 0
Las Palmas C
25 Apr
Las Palmas C
2 : 1
SD Tenisca
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atletico Paso 34 18 13 3 51:19 67
2 UD San Fernando 34 19 9 6 49:23 66
3 Mensajero 34 18 9 7 51:31 63
4 Tamaraceite 34 19 6 9 56:36 63
5 Panaderia 34 15 10 9 47:33 55
6 Las Palmas C 34 15 9 10 58:42 54
7 Tenerife C 34 14 10 10 49:46 52
8 Villa Santa Brigida 34 15 5 14 42:35 50
9 Lanzarote 34 12 12 10 45:36 48
10 Real Union Tenerife 34 12 9 13 34:32 45
11 San Miguel 34 10 9 15 37:43 39
12 CD Marino 34 8 15 11 44:40 39
13 Union Sur Yaiza 34 10 8 16 33:43 38
14 San Bartolome 34 8 12 14 30:55 36
15 Arucas 34 7 12 15 31:47 33
16 Herbania 34 7 11 16 39:58 32
17 SD Tenisca 34 6 7 21 32:68 25
18 Telde 34 5 10 19 30:71 25
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 12 2025/2026 (Play Offs)