Sport Picks
Match Events
85'
85'
Alvarez F.
88'
88'
Gonzalez G.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Tercera RFEF - Group 12 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
33%
35%
32%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
33%
/ Low Confidence
- Telde haven't matched Atletico Paso's recent run of results.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
- Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 12 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Atletico Paso Clean Sheet 20%
Telde Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Atletico Paso | Telde |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 12 | 5 |
| Draws | 13 | 9 |
| Losses | 4 | 16 |
| Goals Scored | 1.31 | 0.97 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.62 | 2.1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.63 | 0.81 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 19, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Atletico Paso vs Telde
1:1
Dec 17, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Telde vs Atletico Paso
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Atletico Paso Compare
Top Goalscorer Alvarez F.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81
Telde Compare
Top Goalscorer Gonzalez G.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Atletico Paso 31 / 100
Telde 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Atletico Paso Telde
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Atletico Paso Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Telde let in goals in 93% of their last 30 matches.
Atletico Paso scored in 72% of their last 29 games.
These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.
Telde lost 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Atletico Paso VS Telde
1.38 Goals Scored 1.13
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 100%
25% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Atletico Paso
(Home) 19 Sept
Atletico Paso
0 : 1 Atl. Madrid C
13 Sept
Puertollano C.F.
0 : 0 Atletico Paso
06 Sept
Atletico Paso
0 : 2 Numancia
07 Aug
Algeciras
1 : 0 Atletico Paso
10 May
Herbania
1 : 1 Atletico Paso
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Atletico Paso
0 : 1 Atl. Madrid C
06 Sept
Atletico Paso
0 : 2 Numancia
03 May
Atletico Paso
1 : 0 Las Palmas C
19 Apr
Atletico Paso
1 : 1 Telde
02 Apr
Atletico Paso
1 : 1 Mensajero
Page 1 of 3
Telde
(Away) 08 May
Telde
0 : 3 Villa Santa Brigida
03 May
Union Sur Yaiza
2 : 1 Telde
26 Apr
Telde
1 : 3 San Miguel
22 Apr
Herbania
1 : 1 Telde
19 Apr
Atletico Paso
1 : 1 Telde
Page 1 of 6
03 May
Union Sur Yaiza
2 : 1 Telde
22 Apr
Herbania
1 : 1 Telde
19 Apr
Atletico Paso
1 : 1 Telde
02 Apr
Real Union Tenerife
3 : 0 Telde
08 Mar
Panaderia
1 : 0 Telde
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atletico Paso | 34 | 18 | 13 | 3 | 51:19 | 67 |
| 2 | UD San Fernando | 34 | 19 | 9 | 6 | 49:23 | 66 |
| 3 | Mensajero | 34 | 18 | 9 | 7 | 51:31 | 63 |
| 4 | Tamaraceite | 34 | 19 | 6 | 9 | 56:36 | 63 |
| 5 | Panaderia | 34 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 47:33 | 55 |
| 6 | Las Palmas C | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 58:42 | 54 |
| 7 | Tenerife C | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 49:46 | 52 |
| 8 | Villa Santa Brigida | 34 | 15 | 5 | 14 | 42:35 | 50 |
| 9 | Lanzarote | 34 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 45:36 | 48 |
| 10 | Real Union Tenerife | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 34:32 | 45 |
| 11 | San Miguel | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 37:43 | 39 |
| 12 | CD Marino | 34 | 8 | 15 | 11 | 44:40 | 39 |
| 13 | Union Sur Yaiza | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 33:43 | 38 |
| 14 | San Bartolome | 34 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 30:55 | 36 |
| 15 | Arucas | 34 | 7 | 12 | 15 | 31:47 | 33 |
| 16 | Herbania | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 39:58 | 32 |
| 17 | SD Tenisca | 34 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 32:68 | 25 |
| 18 | Telde | 34 | 5 | 10 | 19 | 30:71 | 25 |
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 12 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
