Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Atletico PE vs Afogados da Ingazeira

Brazil Brazil

Pernambucano 2 2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Afogados da Ingazeira in this Pernambucano 2 2023 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Afogados da Ingazeira.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Atletico PE
6%
Draws
90%
Afogados da Ingazeira
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Afogados da Ingazeira

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Afogados da Ingazeira lately — more wins on the board than Atletico PE.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Afogados da Ingazeira taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Atletico PE Clean Sheet 10%
Afogados da Ingazeira Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atletico PE Afogados da Ingazeira
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 12
Draws 4 8
Losses 17 10
Goals Scored 0.25 0.5
Goals Conceded 3.88 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 0.25 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.88 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 15, 2023 Pernambucano 2
Atletico PE vs Afogados da Ingazeira
1:2
Mar 1, 2017 Pernambucano
Atletico PE vs Afogados da Ingazeira
0:1
Feb 8, 2017 Pernambucano
Afogados da Ingazeira vs Atletico PE
5:1
Jan 4, 2017 Pernambucano
Atletico PE vs Afogados da Ingazeira
0:0
Sep 7, 2014 Pernambucano 2
Atletico PE vs Afogados da Ingazeira
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atletico PE 10 / 100
Afogados da Ingazeira 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atletico PE Afogados da Ingazeira

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AFO Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Afogados da Ingazeira has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Atletico PE's goal record stands at 57% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Afogados da Ingazeira's recent record shows 2 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Atletico PE VS Afogados da Ingazeira
0.25 Goals Scored 0.5
3.88 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 0%
63% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Atletico PE

(Home)
24 Aug
Ypiranga
4 : 0
Atletico PE
18 Aug
Atletico PE
0 : 3
Vera Cruz
11 Aug
Jaguar
9 : 0
Atletico PE
04 Aug
Atletico PE
1 : 3
Ibis Sport Club
28 Jul
Decisao
5 : 0
Atletico PE
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Afogados da Ingazeira

(Away)
22 Feb
Jaguar
1 : 0
Afogados da Ingazeira
15 Feb
Afogados da Ingazeira
1 : 1
Maguary
09 Feb
Nautico
4 : 0
Afogados da Ingazeira
05 Feb
Decisao
1 : 1
Afogados da Ingazeira
29 Jan
Afogados da Ingazeira
1 : 1
Central SC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Afogados da Ingazeira11101028:431
2Academica Vitoria1190236:1027
3Flamengo Arcoverde1190227:827
4Decisao1170416:1021
5Vera Cruz1162331:1920
6Ibis Sport Club1143419:2315
7Atletico Torres1141614:1713
8Jaguar1131713:2410
9Atletico PE1123610:159
10Centro Limoeirense1121810:267
111º de Maio1112811:315
12Ferroviario do Cabo111289:375
Promotion - Pernambucano 2024 (Main)
Relegation - Pernambucano 3 (Main)