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Atletico PE vs Ipojuca

Brazil Brazil

Pernambucano 2 2022
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Atletico PE play Ipojuca in the Pernambucano 2 2022. It looks like a close match. Recently, Atletico PE averaged 1.06 goals scored and 1.85 conceded. Ipojuca averaged 1.44 goals scored and 1 conceded. In past meetings, Atletico PE won 1, Ipojuca won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on Jul 14, 2024 ended 4:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.65 for Atletico PE and 2.60 for Ipojuca. This points to a Ipojuca double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Atletico PE
24%
Draws
43%
Ipojuca
Draw rate projection: 24% Favored: Ipojuca

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / Medium Confidence
  • Atletico PE picked up more points recently compared to Ipojuca.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.65 vs 2.60 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 88%
Over 1.5 Goals 77%
Over 2.5 Goals 51%
Over 3.5 Goals 31%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 44%
Atletico PE Clean Sheet 10%
Ipojuca Clean Sheet 20%
First Half Goal 69%
Second Half Goal 73%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atletico PE Ipojuca
Matches Played 34 34
Wins 10 14
Draws 6 8
Losses 18 12
Goals Scored 1.06 1.44
Goals Conceded 1.85 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.17 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 4.33 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 14, 2024 Pernambucano 2
Ipojuca vs Atletico PE
4:0
Sep 28, 2022 Pernambucano 2
Atletico PE vs Ipojuca
2:1
Sep 4, 2021 Pernambucano 2
Atletico PE vs Ipojuca
1:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atletico PE 32 / 100
Ipojuca 43 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atletico PE Ipojuca

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Ipojuca or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +32%
4.00
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +13.2%
2.22
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Atletico PE attacking → ← attacking Ipojuca

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Atletico PE scored in 59% of their last 34 games.

Ipojuca let in goals in 59% of their last 34 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Atletico PE went unbeaten in 0 of their last 5 games.

Ipojuca lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

36 Points in last 5 50
0.17 Goals expected (xG) 0.88
4.33 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.13

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Flamengo Arcoverde540111:312
2Decisao52305:39
3Petrolina522112:38
41º de Maio51313:36
5Pesqueira51228:55
6Serrano PE50051:230
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Central SC54017:112
2Maguary53117:310
3Ypiranga52214:38
4Belo Jardim51223:35
5CA Porto51223:45
6Cha Grande50140:101
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Atletico Torres541011:213
2America PE52219:98
3Vera Cruz52125:37
4Academica Vitoria52035:56
5Sete de Setembro (PE)52035:96
6Santa Fe PE50232:92
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Atletico PE651015:416
2Ipojuca650114:315
3Ferroviario do Cabo62318:59
4Centro Limoeirense622211:58
5Jaguar62047:176
6Cabense61239:125
7Timbauba FC60060:180