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Atletico PE vs Vera Cruz

Brazil Brazil

Pernambucano 2 2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Vera Cruz in this Pernambucano 2 2023 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Vera Cruz.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Atletico PE
6%
Draws
90%
Vera Cruz
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Vera Cruz

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Vera Cruz haven't matched Atletico PE's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Vera Cruz's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 46%
Over 4.5 Goals 21%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Atletico PE Clean Sheet 10%
Vera Cruz Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atletico PE Vera Cruz
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 9 8
Draws 4 8
Losses 17 15
Goals Scored 0.17 0.88
Goals Conceded 4.33 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 0.17 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 4.33 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 18, 2024 Pernambucano 2
Atletico PE vs Vera Cruz
0:3
Nov 1, 2023 Pernambucano 2
Atletico PE vs Vera Cruz
1:2
Oct 27, 2022 Pernambucano 2
Atletico PE vs Vera Cruz
2:0
Mar 3, 2015 Pernambucano
Vera Cruz vs Atletico PE
2:2
Feb 21, 2015 Pernambucano
Atletico PE vs Vera Cruz
2:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atletico PE 10 / 100
Vera Cruz 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atletico PE Vera Cruz

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick VER Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vera Cruz has conceded goals in 90% of their last 31 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Vera Cruz lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Atletico PE's goal record stands at 57% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Atletico PE VS Vera Cruz
0.17 Goals Scored 0.88
4.33 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 75%
83% Over 2.5 38%
67% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Afogados da Ingazeira11101028:431
2Academica Vitoria1190236:1027
3Flamengo Arcoverde1190227:827
4Decisao1170416:1021
5Vera Cruz1162331:1920
6Ibis Sport Club1143419:2315
7Atletico Torres1141614:1713
8Jaguar1131713:2410
9Atletico PE1123610:159
10Centro Limoeirense1121810:267
111º de Maio1112811:315
12Ferroviario do Cabo111289:375