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Atletico-PI vs Caicara Prediction & H2H Stats

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Piauiense 2 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Weslley
68' Event
Weslley

AI Match Summary

The Piauiense 2 2024 game between Atletico-PI and Caicara finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Atletico-PI.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Atletico-PI
15%
Draws
0%
Caicara
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Atletico-PI

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Atletico-PI carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Atletico-PI are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Atletico-PI Clean Sheet 20%
Caicara Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atletico-PI Caicara
Matches Played 30 18
Wins 14 3
Draws 10 3
Losses 6 12
Goals Scored 1.37 0.83
Goals Conceded 0.7 1.89
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 22, 2024 Piauiense 2
Caicara vs Atletico-PI
0:2
Aug 25, 2024 Piauiense 2
Atletico-PI vs Caicara
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Atletico-PI Compare

Top Goalscorer Weslley
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Caicara Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atletico-PI 85 / 100
Caicara 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atletico-PI Caicara

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Atletico-PI Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Caicara has conceded goals in 83% of their last 18 outings.

Caicara's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Attacking prowess: Atletico-PI scored in 60% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Atletico-PI VS Caicara
1.75 Goals Scored 0.63
0.75 Goals Conceded 2.75
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Atletico-PI

(Home)
21 Mar
Atletico-PI
0 : 0
Piaui
18 Mar
Piaui
1 : 0
Atletico-PI
07 Mar
Atletico-PI
2 : 1
AE Altos
02 Mar
AE Altos
0 : 2
Atletico-PI
22 Feb
Fluminense-PI
1 : 3
Atletico-PI
Page 1 of 6

Caicara

(Away)
26 Sept
Caicara
1 : 3
Comercial PI
20 Sept
Flamengo PI
4 : 1
Caicara
15 Sept
Caicara
1 : 5
Picos
08 Sept
Caicara
1 : 3
River-PI
05 Sept
Julho Esporte
3 : 0
Caicara
Page 1 of 4

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atletico-PI 8 6 1 1 12:2 19
2 Piaui 8 3 3 2 9:6 12
3 Comercial PI 8 3 3 2 6:4 12
4 Caicara 8 3 1 4 8:9 10
5 Flamengo PI 8 0 2 6 3:17 2
Promotion - Piauiense 2 2024 (Play Offs)