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Atletico-PI vs Caicara

Brazil Brazil

Piauiense 2 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Weslley
68' Event
Weslley

AI Match Summary

The Piauiense 2 2024 game between Atletico-PI and Caicara finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Atletico-PI.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Atletico-PI
30%
Draws
12%
Caicara
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Atletico-PI

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Very High Confidence
  • Atletico-PI carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Atletico-PI are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 35%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Atletico-PI Clean Sheet 20%
Caicara Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atletico-PI Caicara
Matches Played 30 13
Wins 14 3
Draws 10 3
Losses 6 7
Goals Scored 2 0.6
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.4
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 0.60
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 22, 2024 Piauiense 2
Caicara vs Atletico-PI
0:2
Aug 25, 2024 Piauiense 2
Atletico-PI vs Caicara
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Atletico-PI Compare

Top Goalscorer Weslley
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Caicara Compare

Avg xG / game 0.55
Avg xA / game 0.33

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atletico-PI 85 / 100
Caicara 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atletico-PI Caicara

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CAP Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Atletico-PI scored in 60% of their last 30 outings.

Caicara's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 13 matches.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Atletico-PI remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Atletico-PI VS Caicara
2 Goals Scored 0.6
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.4
88% Over 1.5 60%
75% Over 2.5 40%
50% Over 3.5 20%

Recent Form & Match History

Atletico-PI

(Home)
21 Mar
Atletico-PI
0 : 0
Piaui
18 Mar
Piaui
1 : 0
Atletico-PI
07 Mar
Atletico-PI
2 : 1
AE Altos
02 Mar
AE Altos
0 : 2
Atletico-PI
22 Feb
Fluminense-PI
1 : 3
Atletico-PI
Page 1 of 6

Caicara

(Away)
18 Oct
TEC
2 : 1
Caicara
11 Oct
Caicara
0 : 0
Flamengo PI
05 Oct
Caicara
0 : 2
Comercial PI
01 Oct
Picos
2 : 2
Caicara
28 Sept
Caicara
0 : 1
Corisabba
Page 1 of 3

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atletico-PI 8 6 1 1 12:2 19
2 Piaui 8 3 3 2 9:6 12
3 Comercial PI 8 3 3 2 6:4 12
4 Caicara 8 3 1 4 8:9 10
5 Flamengo PI 8 0 2 6 3:17 2
Promotion - Piauiense 2 2024 (Play Offs)