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Atletico-PI vs Parnahyba

Brazil Brazil

Piauiense 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

36' Event
Athyrson
90' Event
Ramos V.
(Penalty)
90' Event
Adilson Bahia

AI Match Summary

Parnahyba in this Piauiense 2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Parnahyba.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Atletico-PI
20%
Draws
33%
Parnahyba
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Atletico-PI

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Parnahyba haven't matched Atletico-PI's recent run of results.
  • Atletico-PI are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 21%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Atletico-PI Clean Sheet 68%
Parnahyba Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atletico-PI Parnahyba
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 14 9
Draws 10 9
Losses 6 14
Goals Scored 1.37 1.16
Goals Conceded 0.7 1.59
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 11, 2026 Piauiense
Parnahyba vs Atletico-PI
2:2
Mar 2, 2025 Piauiense
Parnahyba vs Atletico-PI
1:3
Feb 23, 2025 Piauiense
Atletico-PI vs Parnahyba
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Atletico-PI Compare

Top Goalscorer Adilson Bahia
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Parnahyba Compare

Top Goalscorer Athyrson
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atletico-PI 95 / 100
Parnahyba 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atletico-PI Parnahyba

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Atletico-PI Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Parnahyba has conceded goals in 81% of their last 32 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.67 goals per match.

Atletico-PI's goal record stands at 60% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Solid form: Atletico-PI remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Atletico-PI VS Parnahyba
1.33 Goals Scored 1
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.38
50% Over 1.5 75%
33% Over 2.5 38%
17% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Atletico-PI

(Home)
21 Mar
Atletico-PI
0 : 0
Piaui
18 Mar
Piaui
1 : 0
Atletico-PI
07 Mar
Atletico-PI
2 : 1
AE Altos
02 Mar
AE Altos
0 : 2
Atletico-PI
22 Feb
Fluminense-PI
1 : 3
Atletico-PI
Page 1 of 6

Parnahyba

(Away)
27 Jun
Aguia De Maraba
2 : 0
Parnahyba
21 Jun
Parnahyba
2 : 1
Aguia De Maraba
07 Jun
Parnahyba
1 : 0
Moto Club
30 May
Iguatu
2 : 2
Parnahyba
24 May
Parnahyba
0 : 1
Maracana
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 AE Altos 8 4 3 1 12:4 15
2 Piaui 8 4 2 2 9:7 14
3 Parnahyba 8 4 1 3 12:10 13
4 Fluminense-PI 8 3 3 2 9:7 12
5 Atletico-PI 8 2 4 2 11:10 10
6 Oeirense 8 2 3 3 8:8 9
7 Julho Esporte 8 2 2 4 10:16 8
8 River-PI 8 1 2 5 5:14 5
Promotion - Piauiense 2025 (Play Offs)