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Atletico-PI vs Piaui

Brazil Brazil

Piauiense
Our Tip

Match Events

41' Event
Jonathan
45' Event
Junior Mandacaru
52' Event
Eduardo Thuram

AI Match Summary

Atletico-PI in this Piauiense matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Atletico-PI.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Atletico-PI
15%
Draws
40%
Piaui
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Atletico-PI

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Atletico-PI haven't matched Piaui's recent run of results.
  • Atletico-PI are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Regular Piauiense form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 25%
Over 2.5 Goals 18%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Atletico-PI Clean Sheet 68%
Piaui Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atletico-PI Piaui
Matches Played 30 34
Wins 14 16
Draws 10 6
Losses 6 12
Goals Scored 1.37 1.06
Goals Conceded 0.7 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 21, 2026 Piauiense
Atletico-PI vs Piaui
0:0
Mar 18, 2026 Piauiense
Piaui vs Atletico-PI
1:0
Jan 31, 2026 Piauiense
Atletico-PI vs Piaui
4:1
Oct 16, 2024 Piauiense 2
Atletico-PI vs Piaui
0:1
Oct 13, 2024 Piauiense 2
Atletico-PI vs Piaui
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Atletico-PI Compare

Top Goalscorer Jonathan
1 Goals
Assists Leader Junior Mandacaru
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Piaui Compare

Top Goalscorer Eduardo Thuram
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atletico-PI 68 / 100
Piaui 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atletico-PI Piaui

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Atletico-PI Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Atletico-PI found the back of the net in 60% of recent matches (30 games).

Piaui's defensive record shows goals conceded in 65% of 34 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.

Atletico-PI has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Atletico-PI VS Piaui
0 Goals Scored 1
0.5 Goals Conceded 0.75
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Atletico-PI

(Home)
21 Mar
Atletico-PI
0 : 0
Piaui
18 Mar
Piaui
1 : 0
Atletico-PI
07 Mar
Atletico-PI
2 : 1
AE Altos
02 Mar
AE Altos
0 : 2
Atletico-PI
22 Feb
Fluminense-PI
1 : 3
Atletico-PI
Page 1 of 6

Piaui

(Away)
27 Jun
Piaui
1 : 0
Maguary
21 Jun
Maguary
2 : 0
Piaui
13 Jun
Piaui
2 : 1
Tirol
01 Jun
Atletico Cearense
0 : 1
Piaui
23 May
Piaui
0 : 1
Fluminense-PI
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atletico-PI 7 4 2 1 13:5 14
2 Piaui 7 4 1 2 8:7 13
3 Fluminense-PI 7 3 2 2 12:9 11
4 AE Altos 7 2 5 0 7:4 11
5 Oeirense 7 3 1 3 8:7 10
6 TEC 7 2 2 3 5:7 8
7 Corisabba 7 1 2 4 6:13 5
8 Parnahyba 7 0 3 4 5:12 3
Promotion - Piauiense (Play Offs)
Relegation - Piauiense 2 2027 (Main)