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Atletico-PI W vs Tiradentes W

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Piauiense Women 2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Atletico-PI W play Tiradentes W in the Piauiense Women 2024. Atletico-PI W are favorites here. Recently, Atletico-PI W averaged 3.31 goals scored and 0.69 conceded. Tiradentes W averaged 2.27 goals scored and 1.5 conceded. In past meetings, Atletico-PI W won 2, Tiradentes W won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on Sep 28, 2025 ended 1:4. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.20 for Atletico-PI W and 1.00 for Tiradentes W. This points to a Atletico-PI W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Atletico-PI W
25%
Draws
15%
Tiradentes W
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Atletico-PI W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

91% / Very High Confidence
  • Atletico-PI W picked up more points recently compared to Tiradentes W.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.20 vs 1.00 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 65%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 78%
Over 2.5 Goals 65%
Over 3.5 Goals 39%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 44%
Atletico-PI W Clean Sheet 23%
Tiradentes W Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 70%
Second Half Goal 74%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atletico-PI W Tiradentes W
Matches Played 35 30
Wins 27 13
Draws 2 5
Losses 6 12
Goals Scored 3.31 2.27
Goals Conceded 0.69 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 4.25 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 1.67

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 28, 2025 Piauiense Women
Tiradentes W vs Atletico-PI W
1:4
Dec 7, 2024 Piauiense Women
Atletico-PI W vs Tiradentes W
3:2
Nov 27, 2024 Piauiense Women
Atletico-PI W vs Tiradentes W
0:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atletico-PI W 59 / 100
Tiradentes W 16 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atletico-PI W Tiradentes W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Atletico-PI W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Atletico-PI W & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +15.2%
1.92
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.9%
1.69
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Atletico-PI W attacking → ← attacking Tiradentes W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Atletico-PI W scored in 63% of their last 35 games.

Tiradentes W let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.33 goals.

Atletico-PI W went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Tiradentes W lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

83 Points in last 5 44
4.25 Goals expected (xG) 1.00
0.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.67

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Atletico-PI W541021:313
2Tiradentes W522121:58
3Abelhas Rainhas W522112:128
4Skill Red-PI W521226:147
5Piaui W40225:112
6Sao Joao PI W40040:400