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Atletico Pilar vs Provincial - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Argentina Argentina

Torneo Promocional Amateur
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Torneo Promocional Amateur game between Atletico Pilar and Provincial finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Atletico Pilar.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Atletico Pilar
20%
Draws
0%
Provincial
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Atletico Pilar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Provincial carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Atletico Pilar a 80% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.4%
Atletico Pilar Clean Sheet 17%
Provincial Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atletico Pilar Provincial
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 5 6
Draws 8 6
Losses 17 18
Goals Scored 0.77 0.87
Goals Conceded 1.67 2.23
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 16, 2026 Torneo Promocional Amateur
Atletico Pilar vs Provincial
1:0
Jun 20, 2026 Torneo Promocional Amateur
Provincial vs Atletico Pilar
1:0
Aug 10, 2024 Torneo Promocional Amateur
Provincial vs Atletico Pilar
2:0
Mar 17, 2024 Torneo Promocional Amateur
Atletico Pilar vs Provincial
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atletico Pilar 84 / 100
Provincial 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atletico Pilar Provincial

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Atletico Pilar Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Provincial has conceded goals in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Away concern: Provincial has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Recent resilience: Atletico Pilar stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Atletico Pilar scored in 50% of their last 30 games.

Scoring Trends

Atletico Pilar VS Provincial
0.75 Goals Scored 0.88
1.88 Goals Conceded 2.63
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Atletico Pilar

(Home)
07 Sept
Deportivo Metalurgico
2 : 2
Atletico Pilar
30 Aug
Atletico Pilar
0 : 2
Defensores de Glew
24 Aug
Social Atletico Television
2 : 0
Atletico Pilar
16 Aug
Atletico Pilar
1 : 0
Provincial
11 Aug
Juventud de Bernal
2 : 2
Atletico Pilar
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Provincial

(Away)
05 Sept
Provincial
1 : 2
Juventud de Bernal
29 Aug
Nautico Hacoaj
9 : 1
Provincial
22 Aug
Provincial
0 : 4
Defensores de Glew
16 Aug
Atletico Pilar
1 : 0
Provincial
10 Aug
Estrella de Berisso
5 : 0
Provincial
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Social Atletico Television 14 11 0 3 24:9 33
2 Defensores de Glew 14 10 2 2 37:8 32
3 Deportivo Metalurgico 14 10 2 2 32:10 32
4 Nautico Hacoaj 14 8 2 4 27:11 26
5 Estrella de Berisso 14 4 3 7 18:24 15
6 Atletico Pilar 14 2 3 9 11:24 9
7 Juventud de Bernal 14 2 2 10 10:41 8
8 Provincial 14 2 0 12 9:41 6
Promotion - Torneo Promocional Amateur (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Barrancas 16 9 4 3 17:9 31
2 Uribelarrea 16 7 6 3 17:10 27
3 Ezeiza 16 7 5 4 18:17 26
4 Buenos Aires City 16 7 4 5 18:13 25
5 Belgrano Zarate 16 5 7 4 11:10 22
6 Alumni Los Hornos 16 5 3 8 17:20 18
7 Academia Control Orientado 16 5 3 8 15:20 18
8 Las Mandarinas 16 4 3 9 11:18 15
9 Everton La Plata 16 3 5 8 7:14 14
Promotion - Torneo Promocional Amateur (Play Offs)