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Atletico Pinto vs AD Colmenar - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Tercera Division - Group 7 2014/2015
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AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 7 2014/2015 game between Atletico Pinto and AD Colmenar finished 4-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Atletico Pinto.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Atletico Pinto
30%
Draws
43%
AD Colmenar
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: AD Colmenar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Atletico Pinto come out ahead of AD Colmenar on wins alone.
  • 43% — that's where the model lands on AD Colmenar taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Atletico Pinto Clean Sheet 17%
AD Colmenar Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atletico Pinto AD Colmenar
Matches Played 35 30
Wins 14 8
Draws 9 7
Losses 12 15
Goals Scored 1.14 1.33
Goals Conceded 1.26 1.77
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 15, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Atletico Pinto vs AD Colmenar
1:1
Nov 19, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
AD Colmenar vs Atletico Pinto
1:1
Feb 22, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Atletico Pinto vs AD Colmenar
4:2
Oct 5, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
AD Colmenar vs Atletico Pinto
0:3
Jan 19, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
AD Colmenar vs Atletico Pinto
1:7

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atletico Pinto 23 / 100
AD Colmenar 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atletico Pinto AD Colmenar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AD Colmenar Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Atletico Pinto scored in 80% of their last 35 outings.

AD Colmenar has conceded goals in 87% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 4.20 goals per match.

Solid form: Atletico Pinto remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Atletico Pinto VS AD Colmenar
0.88 Goals Scored 2
0.75 Goals Conceded 0
38% Over 1.5 100%
25% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Atletico Pinto

(Home)
28 Aug
AD Alcala
1 : 2
Atletico Pinto
20 Jun
AD Alcala
0 : 0
Atletico Pinto
16 Jun
Paracuellos Antamira
1 : 3
Atletico Pinto
13 Jun
Atletico Pinto
1 : 2
RSD Alcala
02 Jun
Villanueva del Pardillo CF
4 : 1
Atletico Pinto
Page 1 of 7

AD Colmenar

(Away)
21 Aug
AD Colmenar
2 : 0
Villaverde San Andres
23 Aug
AD Colmenar
2 : 1
Moratalaz
13 May
AD Colmenar
4 : 0
San Agustin
06 May
Leganes B
3 : 3
AD Colmenar
02 May
AD Colmenar
1 : 1
Pozuelo de Alarcon
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rayo Majadahonda 38 21 8 9 67:38 71
2 Navalcarnero 38 18 10 10 43:37 64
3 Mexico 38 17 13 8 59:39 64
4 Union Adarve 38 17 12 9 40:31 63
5 Alcorcon B 38 17 12 9 57:41 63
6 San Sebastian Reyes 38 18 8 12 47:32 62
7 DUX Internacional de Madrid 38 16 12 10 48:42 60
8 RSD Alcala 38 13 17 8 41:29 56
9 Real Madrid C 38 16 7 15 50:40 55
10 Pozuelo de Alarcon 38 16 6 16 46:45 54
11 Parla 38 14 11 13 47:39 53
12 Atletico Pinto 38 15 7 16 44:42 52
13 Atl. Madrid C 38 14 7 17 53:66 49
14 Puerta Bonita 38 12 11 15 42:44 47
15 CD Mostoles 38 11 13 14 44:46 46
16 San Fernando de Henares 38 9 17 12 35:42 44
17 Siello 38 10 13 15 37:51 43
18 Alcobendas 38 7 15 16 35:49 36
19 AD Colmenar 38 10 5 23 35:65 35
20 AD Torrejon 38 6 2 30 22:74 20
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2014/2015 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2014/2015 (Main)