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Atletico Pinto vs Real Aranjuez

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 7 2020/2021
Sun, Mar 14, 2021
3 - 0
10:30 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Atletico Pinto host Real Aranjuez in the Tercera Division - Group 7 2020/2021. This has Atletico Pinto written all over it on paper. Recent numbers: Atletico Pinto at 1.13 goals for, 1.3 against; Real Aranjuez at 0.82 for, 2.26 against. Head-to-head, Atletico Pinto have won 1 to Real Aranjuez's 3, with 1 draws. They last met on Mar 14, 2021, ending 3:0. The numbers (1.42 xG vs 0.93) point toward Atletico Pinto. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 1-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Atletico Pinto
20%
Draws
10%
Real Aranjuez
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Atletico Pinto

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Real Aranjuez haven't matched Atletico Pinto's recent run of results.
  • Atletico Pinto are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 7 2020/2021 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 25%
Over 2.5 Goals 24%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Atletico Pinto Clean Sheet 68%
Real Aranjuez Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atletico Pinto Real Aranjuez
Matches Played 30 34
Wins 13 4
Draws 6 5
Losses 11 25
Goals Scored 1.13 0.82
Goals Conceded 1.3 2.26
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 0.93
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 14, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Atletico Pinto vs Real Aranjuez
3:0
Dec 13, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Real Aranjuez vs Atletico Pinto
5:1
Mar 23, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Real Aranjuez vs Atletico Pinto
1:0
Nov 1, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Atletico Pinto vs Real Aranjuez
2:2
Jan 13, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Atletico Pinto vs Real Aranjuez
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atletico Pinto 95 / 100
Real Aranjuez 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atletico Pinto Real Aranjuez

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Atletico Pinto Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Real Aranjuez's defensive record shows goals conceded in 82% of 34 matches.

H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.

Atletico Pinto's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Solid form: Atletico Pinto remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Real Aranjuez
0 Goals Scored 0.75
0 Goals Conceded 1.63
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Atletico Pinto

(Home)
28 Aug
AD Alcala
1 : 2
Atletico Pinto
20 Jun
AD Alcala
0 : 0
Atletico Pinto
16 Jun
Paracuellos Antamira
1 : 3
Atletico Pinto
13 Jun
Atletico Pinto
1 : 2
RSD Alcala
02 Jun
Villanueva del Pardillo CF
4 : 1
Atletico Pinto
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Real Aranjuez

(Away)
26 Sept
Real Aranjuez
1 : 2
Trival Valderas
20 Sept
RC Alcobendas
1 : 1
Real Aranjuez
12 Sept
Real Aranjuez
2 : 5
Galapagar
06 Sept
Leganes B
2 : 0
Real Aranjuez
02 Sept
Real Aranjuez
1 : 6
Alaves C
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Union Adarve 22 13 5 4 41:17 44
2 Moratalaz 22 11 7 4 36:20 40
3 Rayo Vallecano B 22 10 8 4 35:27 38
4 Pozuelo de Alarcon 22 11 5 6 33:20 38
5 Flat Earth FC 22 9 6 7 19:18 33
6 AD Torrejon 22 7 11 4 32:17 32
7 AD Alcala 22 8 6 8 22:22 30
8 RSD Alcala 22 6 10 6 20:16 28
9 Paracuellos Antamira 22 6 8 8 18:27 26
10 Villanueva del Pardillo CF 22 5 4 13 14:28 19
11 San Fernando de Henares 22 4 6 12 18:36 18
12 Santa Ana 22 2 4 16 11:51 10
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 7 2020/2021 (Promotion Group)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 7 2020/2021 (Second stage)
Relegation - Tercera Division - Group 7 2020/2021 (Relegation Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Leganes B 20 15 5 0 34:12 50
2 CD Mostoles 20 13 5 2 28:11 44
3 Alcorcon B 20 9 7 4 32:15 34
4 Parla 20 7 7 6 20:20 28
5 Carabanchel 20 5 9 6 18:20 24
6 Atletico Pinto 20 7 3 10 20:30 24
7 Trival Valderas 20 5 8 7 15:21 23
8 Villaverde San Andres 20 6 3 11 18:29 21
9 El Alamo 20 3 7 10 24:33 16
10 Mostoles CF 20 3 6 11 15:26 15
11 Real Aranjuez 20 3 6 11 19:32 15
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 7 2020/2021 (Promotion Group)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 7 2020/2021 (Second stage)
Relegation - Tercera Division - Group 7 2020/2021 (Relegation Group)